Will AI Populism Decide the 2028 Election? | Jasmine Sun
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In this episode of Bankless, host Ryan Grant sits down with Jasmine Sun, a contributing writer at The Atlantic and author of the Substack series 'AI Populism,' to explore the rising political force of AI populism in the United States. Sun defines AI populism as a growing movement where diverse groups—from conservatives to environmentalists to labor advocates—unite in opposition to AI not as a neutral technology, but as an elite-driven project threatening jobs, wealth distribution, and societal stability. While AI ranks 29th in voter concern, Sun argues it's rising fastest among issues and has already become a galvanizing political force, evidenced by protests against data centers, violent attacks on tech leaders like Sam Altman, and the strategic use of AI messaging by politicians like Bernie Sanders and Josh Hawley. The discussion delves into the psychological and economic roots of this backlash: deepening wealth inequality, distrust in institutions, and the perception that AI billionaires are disconnected from ordinary citizens. Sun warns that while AI may not cause mass unemployment overnight, near-term disruptions in white-collar jobs—especially in software, writing, and design—will fuel political resentment, potentially reshaping the 2028 election into a battle between 'decelerationists' (anti-AI, pro-regulation) and 'accelerationists' (pro-tech, pro-growth). She cautions against both extremes, advocating instead for a 'grand bargain'—a new social contract involving expanded unemployment benefits, shorter workweeks, public wealth funds, and inclusive policy negotiations to ensure technology’s gains are shared. The episode ends with Sun reflecting on her own use of AI as a tool, emphasizing the enduring value of human comparative advantages like on-the-ground research, emotional intelligence, and narrative depth.
AI populism is a rising bipartisan movement uniting diverse groups around fears of job loss, elite capture, and societal disruption, even if AI isn’t yet a top voter concern.
Politicians are using AI as a 'shiny new' issue to repackage old messages—like universal healthcare or labor rights—making it a powerful political lever.
The backlash isn't just about technology—it's a proxy for deeper issues: wealth inequality, power imbalance, and the erosion of trust in institutions and elites.
While AI may not eliminate all jobs, near-term disruption in white-collar roles (e.g., software, copywriting) will fuel political anger, especially among those with no path to retraining.
The 2028 election may see a cleavage between 'decelerationist' Democrats (focused on moratoriums, regulation) and 'accelerationist' Republicans (pro-tech growth), though this is not inevitable.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Defining AI Populism: A New Political Force
“A worldview in which AI is viewed not only as a normal technology, but as an elite political project to be resisted.”
The Rise of AI as a Political Bogeyman
“When the people building the technology are saying, actually, that's true. Like this stuff is going to hurt you. It is going to take your job.”
Violence, Distrust, and the Nihilistic Politics of the Disenfranchised
“These people no longer believe that the democratic system works. They do not believe they have any other channel to... shape the direction of what happens to politics.”
The Gap Between Public Optimism and Private Pessimism in Silicon Valley
Sun reveals a stark contrast between what AI leaders say publicly (optimistic about AI’s benefits) and what they privately admit: deep concern about mass job displacement. She argues that this silence is driven by fear of backlash, not denial.
The Steel Man of AI Doom: Why AI Might Be Different from Past Tech Revolutions
Sun presents the case that AI could break the historical link between labor and productivity. Unlike past innovations (e.g., ATMs), AI may not just augment human work but fully replace it—especially in cognitive and relational tasks—making traditional economic models obsolete.
“If we don’t build new channels for people to have a voice, we’ll keep seeing violence. Not because people are evil—but because they feel they have no other choice.”
“When the people building the technology are saying, actually, that's true. Like this stuff is going to hurt you. It is going to take your job.”
“These people no longer believe that the democratic system works. They do not believe they have any other channel to... shape the direction of what happens to politics.”
Host
Guest
Jasmine Sun
person
Sam Altman
person
Dario Amadeh
person
Bernie Sanders
person
Marc Andreessen
person
New York Times
media
Luigi Mangione
person
Elon Musk
person
Substack
other
Waymo
brand
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