Opening Day 2026: Cubs Throw Cash at PCA; Pitching Ninja on the Best Pitches in Baseball
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In this opening day episode of Baseball Tonight, host Buster Olney and guest Paul Hembikidis dive into the 2026 MLB season with a mix of player analysis, team projections, and deep dives into the evolution of pitching. The conversation kicks off with the Chicago Cubs' massive six-year, $115 million extension for center fielder Pete Crow Armstrong, with Olney and Hembikidis weighing in on the risk-reward of a player whose elite defense (noted for 19 five-star StatCast plays) may outweigh his inconsistent hitting. They then spotlight Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as a potential MVP, drawing comparisons to Eddie Murray and highlighting his elite strikeout avoidance and power. The episode also celebrates the emergence of Detroit Tigers' Kevin McGonigal, whose minor league stats (160+ WRC+ and more walks than strikeouts) make him a rare talent, and praises the Tigers’ bold move to open the season with him. The second half features Rob Friedman, the 'Pitching Ninja,' discussing his new book *Unhittable*, which explores how technology, biomechanics, and data have revolutionized pitching. Friedman highlights pitchers like Mason Miller (best fastball), Nolan McClain (best breaking ball), and Logan Gilbert (best splitter), while emphasizing how modern pitchers now seek data-driven optimization. He reflects on the cultural shift in baseball—from old-school grit to analytics-driven mastery—and pays tribute to pioneers like Tom House and the impact of players like Paul Skeens and Shohei Otani. The episode closes with Bleacher Tweets, team win projections, and a heartfelt nod to Sarah Langs and her ALS advocacy through the 'Baseball is the Best' t-shirt campaign, raising $200,000.
Pete Crow Armstrong’s $115M Cubs deal is a high-risk, high-reward bet on elite defense over consistent hitting.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a top MVP candidate due to his elite strikeout avoidance and power, with a strong case for a Hall of Fame trajectory.
Kevin McGonigal’s minor league stats (160+ WRC+, more walks than strikeouts) make him one of the rarest prospects in 20 years.
Pitching has evolved through data, biomechanics, and technology—pitchers now demand detailed metrics to optimize performance.
The splitter is making a comeback thanks to Japanese influence and new understanding of spin and movement.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening Day 2026: A Celebration of Baseball’s Omnipresence
Olney and Hembikidis kick off the season with a reflective and enthusiastic look at the beauty of baseball’s daily rhythm, setting the tone for a 162-game journey. They discuss the personal discipline of working from home on opening day and the emotional weight of the first pitch.
Cubs' $115M Bet on Pete Crow Armstrong: Defense Over Hitting
“He walks off the bus every season with three wins above replacement just because the glove is that special.”
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the MVP Case: From Star to Superstar
“When it's you and Barry Bonds on any list, you're right. You're absolutely in your bag.”
The Rise of Kevin McGonigal: A Minor League Phenom in Detroit
“There are two minor leaguers with a batting line 60% above average and more walks than strikeouts. Those are Vlad Jr. and Kevin McGonigal.”
Rob Friedman, the Pitching Ninja: The Science Behind Unhittable Pitches
“If you have numbers, players are going to shoot for the higher number. Like if you see 99, they want 100. If you see 100, you want 102.”
“When it's you and Barry Bonds on any list, you're right. You're absolutely in your bag.”
“There are two minor leaguers with a batting line 60% above average and more walks than strikeouts. Those are Vlad Jr. and Kevin McGonigal.”
“He walks off the bus every season with three wins above replacement just because the glove is that special.”
Host
Guests
Buster Olney
person
Rob Friedman
person
Paul Hembikidis
person
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
person
Chicago Cubs
other
Pete Crow Armstrong
person
Detroit Tigers
other
Kevin McGonigal
person
Paul Skeens
person
Shohei Otani
person
Hangover or Continuation: Picking Division Winners, Wild Card Teams & More; Red Sox Manager Alex Cora Stops By
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney • 44m • 4/7/2026
Small, Simple Moves: Pirates Call Up #1 Prospect Konnor Griffin; Joe Buck Stops By
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney • 48m • 4/7/2026
Big Fish: Mike Trout Joins the Show!; Andrew Painter Debuts; Shohei Sizzles; Should the Cubs be Worried?
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney • 49m • 4/7/2026
Relaxed: Hunter Pence on ABS First Impressions, Rookies, Giants; Blue Jays & Yankees Sweep
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney • 48m • 4/7/2026
Opening Day Overreactions: Aaron Judge 0-fer; Rookies Shine, Can the Dodgers Win 103 Games?
Baseball Tonight with Buster Olney • 42m • 4/7/2026
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