Survival Mode: Are Tariffs Crushing Small Business?
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Canadian small businesses are facing an existential threat from the 2026 trade war, with 41% reporting shrinking profit margins due to rising tariff costs—forcing painful choices between cutting prices or passing costs to already strained consumers. David Jens, CEO of Merchant Growth, reveals that over half of Canadian exporters have reduced or halted sales to the U.S., signaling a long-term shift away from overreliance on a single market. Despite economic pressure, most businesses are avoiding layoffs, instead cutting discretionary spending and seeking flexible financing to preserve teams and cash flow. The real differentiator? Access to capital. Jens argues that disruption isn’t just a threat—it’s an opportunity: with fast, flexible financing, entrepreneurs can buy competitors’ inventory at fire-sale prices or pivot quickly. The message is clear: resilience isn’t just about surviving tariffs—it’s about being agile enough to thrive in chaos. The episode underscores that small business survival in 2026 hinges not on luck, but on proactive strategy: diversify markets, audit margins, secure working capital, and stay alert for opportunistic moves. As Jens puts it, 'The job of an entrepreneur is to stay focused, have grit, and have a good dose of optimism.' In an era of trade uncertainty, adaptability and access to capital are the ultimate weapons.
41% of Canadian small businesses have seen profit margins decline due to 2026 tariff costs, with many operating without financial buffers.
Over half of Canadian exporters have reduced or stopped selling to the U.S., signaling a long-term shift away from market overreliance.
59% of businesses plan to keep headcount stable over the next six months, prioritizing team retention over layoffs.
55% of businesses surveyed plan to cut discretionary spending, while 45% are seeking additional financing to manage costs.
Flexible financing enables businesses to seize opportunistic moves—like buying competitor inventory at fire-sale prices—during trade disruptions.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction to the 2026 Trade War Crisis
Maheen introduces the episode's focus on how tariffs are impacting Canadian small businesses, setting the stage with a discussion of rising costs and economic uncertainty.
The 41% Margin Decline: A Tipping Point?
“And what we find with small businesses is that, one, many of them are operating without a huge financial buffer. They're generally underbanked relative to bigger businesses.”
Pricing Ceiling: Can Businesses Absorb More Costs?
“In the past 12 months, about half the businesses we surveyed have not yet added any costs to their customers. So, you know, they've been shy to do so up until this point, but it's kind of, you know, coming to the point where... They really need to in order to stay viable.”
U.S. Market Pullback: Temporary or Permanent?
“I think it's more of a long-term change. You know, I think it's a wake-up call that you can't really be too reliant on one country if you're an exporter.”
Workforce Protection: Layoffs Delayed, Not Avoided
Despite financial pressure, 59% of businesses expect to maintain headcount, while 23% already laid off staff—showing resilience through cost-cutting, not layoffs.
“Not even when times are hard, there's opportunities in those times. And so, you know, keep your eyes peeled for those and jump all over them when you see them would be my advice.”
“And what we find with small businesses is that, one, many of them are operating without a huge financial buffer. They're generally underbanked relative to bigger businesses.”
“In the past 12 months, about half the businesses we surveyed have not yet added any costs to their customers. So, you know, they've been shy to do so up until this point, but it's kind of, you know, coming to the point where... They really need to in order to stay viable.”
Host
Guest
David Jens
person
Merchant Growth
organization
Canadian SME Small Business Podcast
media
UPS
organization
Able Global College
organization
organization
EDP
organization
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