MLB DFS Morning Grind 4/1/2026
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Stevie TPFL kicks off the April 1st, 2026 Morning Grind podcast with a high-energy breakdown of a 10-game MLB early slate, emphasizing the abundance of strong pitching options and the strategic importance of avoiding 'iffy' starters. He expresses excitement for the day’s baseball, highlighting key matchups and player performances, while cautioning against overexposure to pitchers with command issues or poor strikeout profiles. Stevie dives deep into individual matchups—such as Chris Sale vs. Atlanta, Sandy Alcantara vs. Miami, and Jacob Mizorowski vs. Milwaukee—offering nuanced analysis on velocity, swing-and-miss rates, and matchup dynamics. He champions value plays like Matthew Boyd and Francisco Alvarez, while cautioning against stacking teams like Houston or Colorado due to weak offensive upside. The episode concludes with a parlay pick and a lighthearted tease about a potential Thursday show, ending on a warm note for Easter and baseball fans.
Prioritize pitchers with strong strikeout rates and command, especially on a slate loaded with elite arms.
Avoid stacking teams with weak power or high strikeout rates against strong left-handed starters.
Matthew Boyd is a top-value pitching play in windy Wrigley conditions due to his strikeout ability and favorable matchup.
Francisco Alvarez is a strong low-cost, high-upside catcher play with a favorable matchup and return from a day off.
Target right-handed power hitters like George Springer and Kyle Schwarber against struggling lefties like Kyle Freeland.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Intro & Early Slate Overview
Stevie opens the show with a brief intro, acknowledges a technical mic issue, and sets the tone for a 10-game MLB early slate on April 1st, 2026. He expresses excitement for day baseball and the abundance of strong pitching options.
Atlanta vs. Athletics & Severino Analysis
Stevie analyzes Luis Severino’s shaky command in his first outing and dismisses him as a play, favoring Chris Sale instead. He highlights Atlanta’s offensive potential and suggests stacking them against a struggling lefty.
Texas vs. Baltimore & Eovaldi/Rogers Evaluation
Stevie critiques Nathan Eovaldi and Trevor Rogers for command issues and high walk rates, calling them lukewarm options despite strong strikeout potential. He avoids stacking either team due to inconsistent offensive profiles.
Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati & Skeens/Abbott Breakdown
“I'm going back to the well. I don't know if I'd rank him number one overall in the slate, but the price discount... I'm going back to the well.”
Washington vs. Philadelphia & Sanchez/Cavalli Focus
“I think this guy is one of the better pitchers in baseball... I like Sanchez quite a bit in this spot.”
“This guy is the real deal. And I am so happy that he wears a red Sox Jersey because at the end of the day, I am a red Sox fan.”
“I think this guy is one of the better pitchers in baseball... I like Sanchez quite a bit in this spot.”
“I'm going to play the Miz. I think at one point this season Miz might end up being like 10K. Like I think that's like his ceiling.”
Host
Stevie TPFL
person
Chris Sale
person
Christopher Sanchez
person
Paul Skeens
person
Garrett Crochet
person
Jacob Gausman
person
Matthew Boyd
person
Luis Severino
person
Sandy Alcantara
person
Jacob Mizorowski
person
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