The Cost of Trump's Pressure Campaign on Cuba
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This episode of Deep Dish on Global Affairs examines the escalating U.S. pressure campaign on Cuba under the Trump administration, focusing on the humanitarian crisis unfolding on the island due to renewed economic sanctions, including an effective oil embargo and threats to cut remittances. Host Leslie Vingemori interviews Maria de los Angeles Torres, a leading expert on Latin America and Cuba, who argues that the U.S. strategy is inconsistent and driven more by political optics than coherent policy. She contends that sanctions have not led to democratic change but instead empower Cuba’s military elite by creating black-market economies and enabling state control over essential imports. While protests have intensified, particularly in Havana, the Cuban government responds with arrests and repression, deflecting blame onto the U.S. rather than addressing systemic failures. Torres highlights internal reformist voices within Cuba, such as writer Leonardo Padura, and stresses the need for multilateral diplomacy and humanitarian engagement. She warns that without lifting sanctions and offering real carrots—like asylum for political prisoners—the U.S. risks enabling further repression while failing to achieve its stated goals. Key takeaways include: 1) Sanctions often hurt civilians more than regimes; 2) The U.S. should lift sanctions to reduce the military’s economic power; 3) Multilateral diplomacy involving Canada, Spain, and Mexico is essential; 4) Humanitarian aid and safe haven for released political prisoners must be part of any strategy; 5) The Cuban government’s control over narratives and repression undermines democratic change. The episode concludes with a call for a more nuanced, compassionate, and globally coordinated approach to Cuba, one that prioritizes people over politics.
Sanctions often benefit authoritarian regimes by creating black-market economies and strengthening military control.
The U.S. should lift sanctions to reduce the Cuban military’s economic power and increase leverage for reform.
Multilateral diplomacy involving countries like Canada, Spain, and Mexico is more effective than unilateral U.S. pressure.
Humanitarian aid and safe haven for political prisoners are critical components of any sustainable strategy.
Internal reformist voices in Cuba exist but need space to grow without external interference.
The Humanitarian Crisis in Cuba
“As the U.S. cuts off oil to Cuba, the island is facing mounting crises and conditions are rapidly deteriorating. Power shortages, food and water scarcity, and growing uncertainty and unrest for millions.”
The Incoherent U.S. Strategy
Maria de los Angeles Torres dissects the contradictory U.S. policies toward Cuba—ranging from regime change threats to economic strangulation—attributing this inconsistency to Trump’s impulsiveness and Marco Rubio’s political ambitions.
Sanctions as a Tool of Control
“The embargo actually benefits the military. How does that work? Well, for instance, it used to be that the only flights you could get to go to Cuba were run by charter companies. Those charter companies had to be authorized by the Cuban government. Cuban government had a hand in the financial benefits of those charter companies.”
The Myth of Democratic Change
“I'm not sure that democracy is their endgame. But have you seen any evidence that cutting off oil, threatening tariffs against those other states that might try to... send oil to Cuba, cutting off remittances. I mean, it looks like we're seeing protests on the streets, but what are they protesting?”
Pathways to Change: Carrots, Diplomacy, and Hope
“The United States should not be the only country that is at the negotiating table with anybody in the Cuban government. I think at this moment, look, one of the saddest things that I think is going on in Cuba right now is that people don't believe in the country or the nation or the flag or people are saying like... change forever. We don't care.”
“One of the saddest things that I think is going on in Cuba right now is that people don't believe in the country or the nation or the flag or people are saying like... change forever. We don't care.”
“I'm not sure that democracy is their endgame.”
“The Cuban government wanted Helms-Burton. Absolutely. Because it gives them more control, not more wealth, not more prosperity.”
Host
Guest
Cuba
place
United States
place
Maria de los Angeles Torres
person
Trump
person
Marco Rubio
person
Helms-Burton Act
other
Brothers to the Rescue
organization
Leonardo Padura
person
Mexico
place
Luis Manuel Alcántara
person
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