Huge Ceasefire RALLY - Don't FOMO, Do THIS Instead!
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In this high-energy live stream, Joe from the How to Trade Stocks and Options Podcast with OVTLYR Live dives into his real-time trading strategy for the U.S. Investing Championship, emphasizing discipline over FOMO in a volatile market. Despite the market surging over 2% and 80% of top traders posting negative returns, Joe remains in 'sit in cash and don't F up' mode, prioritizing capital preservation over chasing gains. He walks viewers through his full Plan M strategy—using market breadth, fear and greed heat maps, and a custom screener—to identify high-conviction trades. The focus is on using options with strict risk controls, including 6% risk per trade (based on one-quarter Kelly Criterion), rolling winners up to one week before expiration, and avoiding trades with nearby order blocks. Joe stresses the importance of process over performance, encouraging new traders to start small (1% risk) and master the system before scaling up. He also debunks myths around CanSLIM, highlights the power of rolling over peeling positions, and celebrates outlier traders beating even him in the championship.
Prioritize capital preservation over chasing gains—80% of top traders are losing, so sitting in cash is a strategic choice.
Use a systematic, rules-based approach: Plan M requires bullish market trends, rising fear and greed, positive breadth, and a custom screener with strict filters.
Roll winning options trades up to one week before expiration for credit, reducing risk while keeping position size intact.
Start with 1% risk per trade; scale up only after months of consistent, comfortable performance.
Avoid trades with order blocks within 2% of current price—this is a non-negotiable filter for entry.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Market Surge & the 80% Loser Paradox
“80% of the field has a negative return. So Mr. B, I don't know. I feel like my 0.9% return is better than 80% of the people who felt like they could compete this year.”
Plan M: The Aggressive Strategy Framework
Joe walks through the full logic of Plan M, the most aggressive trading plan. He explains the market conditions required—bullish SPY trend, rising fear and greed under 70, and positive market breadth—and how to use the screener to filter for high-conviction stocks.
Screener Setup & Trade Filtering
Joe demonstrates how to set up and use the Outlier screener, excluding healthcare and energy sectors, applying filters like positive outlier signal return, 30-day volume >1M, and relative greed >1. He shows how to export the list to Excel and import into TradingView for chart analysis.
Order Block Filtering & Chart Review
Joe conducts a rapid visual scan of the filtered stocks in TradingView, eliminating any that have an order block within 2% of the current price. He emphasizes impartiality—no emotional attachment to trades—and uses the 'deep thought' indicator to align charts with his setup.
Position Sizing & Risk Management
“You're not ready to trade 6%. Start at 1%. When you're proud... move to 2%. Don't jump to 6%, okay?”
“You're not ready to trade 6%. Start at 1%. When you're proud... move to 2%. Don't jump to 6%, okay?”
“You're not ready to trade 6%. Start at 1%.”
“By rolling, I had reduced my risk and reduce the capital outlay by 80%. Like that is, that is an unbelievable feat.”
Host
Guest
Joe
person
Chris
person
Outlier Trading Room
organization
U.S. Investing Championship
organization
SPY
other
TradingView
other
BHP
other
Discord
other
Tradier
other
Silver Crash
other
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