CFB 2026 Schedule Draft + CFP Expansion Myths

Josh Pate's College Football Show59mMay 11, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

Josh Pate's College Football Show delivers a blistering takedown of the proposed 24-team College Football Playoff expansion, calling it one of the 'stupider ideas' in the sport's history. The host argues that expanding the playoff would destroy the integrity of the regular season—the very foundation of college football's unique appeal—by turning meaningful games into mere stepping stones. He dismantles the 'bowl fallacy' argument, showing that expanding the playoff doesn't eliminate meaningless games but simply shifts meaninglessness to the regular season, where teams with playoff locks will rest starters. Pate also exposes the flawed logic behind 'more access' claims, asking why we'd stop at 24 if bigger fields are better, and reveals that the real motive—revenue—can be achieved through other means that don't sacrifice the sport's soul. The episode also features a detailed, strategy-heavy 'schedule draft' where Pate selects 12 marquee games, ensuring he sees all top 18 playoff contenders once, while avoiding neutral sites and strategic conflicts. He concludes with bold predictions, including Notre Dame being a near-lock for the playoff and a stunning 11-0 Texas A&M vs. Texas showdown on Black Friday.

Key Takeaways
1

Expanding the CFP to 24 teams would destroy the regular season’s integrity by turning meaningful games into mere stepping stones.

2

The 'bowl fallacy' argument is false—expanding the playoff doesn’t eliminate meaningless games, it just moves them to the regular season.

3

If bigger playoff fields are better, why stop at 24? The logic collapses under its own weight.

4

Notre Dame’s playoff odds under a 24-team format would be -3,000—making them a near-certainty, not a risk.

5

The real reason for expansion isn’t fan demand—it’s power brokers wanting to control revenue without ceding power.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Mother's Day Opening & Revenue Satire

Pate opens with a satirical take on Mother's Day spending, using the $38 billion figure to mock the idea of expanding college football to 'three or four Mother's Days' for revenue, setting a tone of absurdity around expansionist logic.

2:00
8 min

The 2026 Schedule Draft: Strategy & Non-Negotiables

We're going to see the entire top 18, Jesse, the top 18 teams in the college football playoff odds. We will see all of them.

Highlight
10:00
20 min

The 24-Team Playoff Expansion: A Full Rebuttal

If I'm just going to play my quarterback for the first half of this game, Jesse? Or early second half. I mean, I know I've kind of got my range of spot in the playoff locked up. I'm pulling starters. What does that do to the integrity of those games?

Highlight
30:00
20 min

The Real Motive Behind Expansion: Revenue & Power

It's just that the alternatives and the aggregate make certain power brokers in this sport relinquish a little bit of a percentage of that control. That they currently have, even if it means more money in their pockets at the end of the day.

Highlight
50:00
10 min

Bold Predictions & Coach Approval Ratings

Pate shares a series of bold predictions, including Texas A&M and Texas both going undefeated into Black Friday, and Notre Dame missing the playoff after losing to BYU and Miami. He also rates Big Ten coaches, giving Ryan Day an A and Matt Rhule a C.

High-Impact Quotes
If I'm just going to play my quarterback for the first half of this game, Jesse? Or early second half. I mean, I know I've kind of got my range of spot in the playoff locked up. I'm pulling starters. What does that do to the integrity of those games?
Josh Pate30:26
Viral: 90.0
are going to see the entire top 18, Jesse, the top 18 teams in the college football playoff odds. We will see all of them.
Josh Pate19:29
Viral: 85.0
It's just that the alternatives and the aggregate make certain power brokers in this sport relinquish a little bit of a percentage of that control. That they currently have, even if it means more money in their pockets at the end of the day.
Josh Pate35:03
Viral: 76.0
Speakers

Host

Josh Pate
Topics Discussed
college football playoff expansion95%schedule draft90%bowl fallacy88%college football regular season85%notre dame football80%coordinator hires75%texas a&m football70%south carolina football65%
People & Brands

josh pate

person

12xNeutral

notre dame

other

10xNeutral

jessie

person

8xNeutral

ohio state

other

8xNeutral

usc

other

7xNeutral

georgia

other

6xNeutral

texas a&m

other

6xNeutral

alabama

other

6xNeutral

miami

other

6xNeutral

south carolina

other

5xNeutral

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