Are Montreal Canadiens UNDERESTIMATED against Tampa Bay Lightning? | Who steps up? | Celebrating the best regular season in decades

Locked On Canadiens - Daily Podcast on the Montreal Canadiens39mApril 16, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The Locked On Canadiens podcast reflects on a historic and exhilarating regular season for the Montreal Canadiens, celebrating what may be the best campaign in three decades. Despite being widely underestimated heading into the playoffs against the Tampa Bay Lightning, the hosts argue that Montreal’s recent form—especially their 2-1-1 record against Tampa this season and dominant 16-7-2 stretch since the Olympic break—provides strong evidence they are not the underdog many assume. The episode dives into advanced analytics, highlighting that goaltender Jakob Dobish has matched or outperformed Andre Vasilevsky in key metrics like save percentage in close situations and goals saved above expected at five-on-five. The Canadiens’ speed, offensive depth (led by Nick Suzuki, Cole Caufield, and Ivan Demidov), and improved special teams since the break are presented as major advantages. The hosts also express deep emotional attachment to the season, mourning its end while urging fans to appreciate its brilliance regardless of playoff outcomes. They caution against complacency, noting that future success will be judged by postseason performance, but emphasize that this season was a rare, joyful triumph in its own right.

Key Takeaways
1

Montreal’s 16-7-2 record since the Olympic break shows they’re peaking at the right time, not fading.

2

Jakob Dobish has been a revelation, outperforming Vasilevsky in critical close-game situations and five-on-five metrics.

3

The Canadiens’ speed and offensive depth—especially from Suzuki, Caufield, and Demidov—give them a real chance against Tampa.

4

Even if they don’t win the Cup, this season was one of the most exciting in 30 years and deserves celebration.

5

The team’s youth, depth, and momentum suggest they’re not just a one-year wonder but a long-term contender.

Chapters
0:00
5 min

Welcome & The Underestimated Canadiens

The hosts introduce the episode, highlighting the Canadiens' underdog status heading into the playoffs and setting the tone for a passionate defense of their team's value and recent success.

5:00
15 min

The Tampa Rematch Myth & Playoff Mindset

It's not like... when they say that, to me it conjures up the image of these two teams meeting again in the Stanley Cup final. Not in the first round.

Highlight
20:00
15 min

Numbers & Matchup Breakdown

Montreal's PDO is 1.019. Tampa Bay's is 1.02. They are literally separated by a thousandth of a point.

Highlight
35:00
15 min

Celebrating the Season That Was

This season made me love hockey more than I ever have in my entire life.

Highlight
50:00
15 min

Looking Ahead: Future & Trade Speculation

The episode closes with forward-looking thoughts on the Canadiens’ future, the potential for big offseason moves, and the danger of becoming like the Toronto Maple Leafs if they don’t deliver in the playoffs.

High-Impact Quotes
This season made me love hockey more than I ever have in my entire life.
Laura Saba24:43
Viral: 90.0
Even if they get swept... we have to appreciate this season for what it was because it was incredible.
Laura Saba31:55
Viral: 88.0
It's not like... when they say that, to me it conjures up the image of these two teams meeting again in the Stanley Cup final. Not in the first round.
Ian Boisvert4:14
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Hosts

Ross JacksonLaura SabaIan Boisvert
Topics Discussed
Celebrating a Historic Regular Season98%Montreal Canadiens Playoff Underestimation95%Goaltending Comparison: Dobish vs. Vasilevsky92%Tampa Bay Lightning Matchup Analysis90%Team Speed and Special Teams Performance88%Fan Expectations and Seasonal Joy87%Advanced Hockey Analytics85%Future of the Canadiens Roster80%
People & Brands

Montreal Canadiens

other

42xPositive

Tampa Bay Lightning

other

38xNeutral

Jakob Dobish

person

28xPositive

Andre Vasilevsky

person

25xNeutral

Nick Suzuki

person

22xPositive

Cole Caufield

person

18xPositive

Ivan Demidov

person

16xPositive

Uri Slavkovsky

person

14xPositive

Josh Anderson

person

12xPositive

Phil Dano

person

10xPositive

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