WR BIG BOARD: Why Bryce Lance RANKS No. 1 While Carnell Tate and Makai Lemon Bring the Value
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In this episode of Locked On Commanders, host David Harrison breaks down the team's wide receiver big board for the 2026 NFL Draft, emphasizing the distinction between 'big board' rankings—based on trait fit and potential—and actual draft projections. Bryce Lance, a 6'3" FCS prospect from North Dakota State, tops the board due to his elite physical traits, vertical upside, and ability to stretch defenses vertically, despite inconsistency and a late third-round projection. However, Carnell Tate, despite being ranked fourth, is deemed the best value pick due to his elite catch rate (85.7% contested in 2025), zero drops, and proven production—making him a prime target at the 7th overall pick. Makai Lemon and Jordan Tyson follow as second and third in value, with Lemon’s versatility and Tyson’s power slot potential adding depth. The episode stresses that seven of the top 10 receivers are projected to be off the board before Washington’s second pick (71st), making value-based trading back essential. The analysis also touches on how team needs and best-player-available dynamics intersect, with implications for mock drafts and trade strategies. The episode concludes with a preview of upcoming cornerback evaluations.
Bryce Lance is the top big board pick due to elite traits (6'3", 4.34 40-yard dash), but not necessarily the best first-round fit.
Carnell Tate is the best value pick despite not being the top trait fit, due to 85.7% contested catch rate and zero drops in 2025.
Makai Lemon and Jordan Tyson rank second and third in value, with Lemon’s versatility and Tyson’s power slot upside making them ideal trade targets.
Seven of the top 10 receivers are projected to be drafted before the Commanders’ second pick (71st), making value-based trades critical.
The big board is not a mock draft guide—trait fit ≠ draft order—but it informs value and trade strategy.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction & Club Announcement
David Harrison welcomes listeners to the episode, promotes the Everydayer Club for ad-free access and exclusive content, and sets the stage for the wide receiver big board analysis.
Big Board vs. Draft Projections Explained
David clarifies the difference between the big board (trait-based fit) and draft projections (projected pick). He emphasizes that being #1 on the big board doesn’t mean being the first pick, but rather the best fit for the team’s scheme and needs.
Bryce Lance: #1 on the Big Board
“He's got great ability to track the football, high points, deep passes, using his body to box out defenders in the process.”
Carnell Tate: The Best Value Pick
“66 targets in 2025, zero drops from Carnell Tate. Not a burner, but he does show the ability to function as a Z receiver.”
Makai Lemon & Jordan Tyson: High-Value Targets
“He's got that spark plug ability, right? That just electric ability. Former track star. He's got suddenness. He's got breakaway ability.”
“66 targets in 2025, zero drops from Carnell Tate. Not a burner, but he does show the ability to function as a Z receiver.”
“You're only going to have three of your top 10 left on the board when number 71 rolls around.”
“If you want one of these top 10 guys, basically you get about a 70% chance of getting one at number seven.”
Host
Washington Commanders
other
Bryce Lance
person
Carnell Tate
person
Makai Lemon
person
Jordan Tyson
person
Dijon Stribling
person
Zachariah Branch
person
Omar Cooper
person
Denzel Boston
person
KC Concepcion
person
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