RESURGENCE: Can Atlanta Falcons Unlock Tua Tagovailoa’s UNTAPPED Power Like Sam Darnold?

Locked On Falcons - Daily Podcast On The Atlanta Falcons28mApril 7, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of Locked On Falcons, host Aaron Freeman dives into the controversial idea that the Atlanta Falcons could unlock Tua Tagovailoa's 'untapped potential' in the same way the Jets and Vikings revitalized Sam Darnold's career. Freeman argues that Tua lacks the underlying talent and untapped potential seen in quarterbacks like Darnold, Mayfield, and Smith, asserting that Miami already maximized Tua's abilities over six seasons. He compares Tua unfavorably to other first-round QBs, calling him the second least talented in the last decade, and dismisses the 'reclamation project' narrative as unrealistic. The discussion then shifts to James Pierce Jr., whose absence from the offseason program raises concerns about his on-field development and potential regression, despite strong rookie numbers. Freeman highlights advanced metrics showing Pierce's sack production was likely unsustainable. The episode concludes with a deep dive into the possibility of the Falcons trading for Giants' star defensive tackle Dexter Lawrence, analyzing the feasibility of a trade package involving their 2026 and 2027 draft picks. While Freeman acknowledges the trade is unlikely—only a 2% chance—he explores the strategic logic and potential upside of such a move, especially given Lawrence’s elite status and the Falcons' defensive needs.

Key Takeaways
1

Tua Tagovailoa likely has no untapped potential, as Miami already extracted his maximum value over six seasons.

2

James Pierce's on-field regression is probable due to advanced metrics showing unsustainable sack production and a lack of high-quality sacks.

3

The Falcons' defensive line could be significantly upgraded by acquiring Dexter Lawrence, though a trade is highly unlikely.

4

Draft capital and timing make a Lawrence trade plausible in theory, but organizational and financial hurdles remain.

5

Reclamation projects like Darnold’s are outliers and not repeatable; they shouldn’t be the blueprint for team strategy.

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Tua's Untapped Potential: A Myth?

Tua to me is kind of the day walker, the opposite of the day walker, which we're not going to use that term on the podcast before someone gets twisted and my bosses get a phone call.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

James Pierce: On-Field Concerns Amid Off-Field Issues

The episode analyzes James Pierce Jr.'s absence from the offseason program and examines his on-field performance, using advanced metrics to argue that his 10.5 sacks as a rookie were likely unsustainable and that he's due for regression.

20:00
10 min

Could the Falcons Trade for Dexter Lawrence?

Again, your mileage may vary. But just to see his sack dance, you know, more than one time this upcoming season. I think it's worth it.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
Again, your mileage may vary. But just to see his sack dance, you know, more than one time this upcoming season. I think it's worth it.
Aaron Freeman28:04
Viral: 85.0
Tua is probably the second least talented quarterback of any first-round quarterback taken in the last 10 years.
Aaron Freeman3:51
Viral: 80.0
The reason why they're outliers is because they don't happen again.
Aaron Freeman10:09
Viral: 80.0
Speakers

Host

Aaron Freeman
Topics Discussed
Tua Tagovailoa Reclamation Potential90%James Pierce Jr. On-Field Development85%Dexter Lawrence Trade Speculation80%Quarterback Talent Evaluation75%Sack Production Volatility70%Draft Capital Strategy65%Defensive Line Needs65%Off-Field Issues and Player Performance60%
People & Brands

Aaron Freeman

person

25xNeutral

Atlanta Falcons

organization

20xNeutral

Tua Tagovailoa

person

18xNegative

James Pierce Jr.

person

15xMixed

Dexter Lawrence

person

14xPositive

Sam Darnold

person

12xPositive

Giants

organization

10xNeutral

Baker Mayfield

person

8xPositive

Cowboys

organization

5xNeutral

Jets

organization

4xNeutral

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