We AVOIDED These Terrible Fantasy Basketball Draft Picks
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In this episode of the Locked On Fantasy Basketball Podcast, hosts Josh Lloyd and Wes Goldberg reflect on their draft-day predictions, focusing on players they advised fans to avoid due to inflated ADPs. They highlight several high-profile busts, including De'Aaron Fox, who was overvalued due to injury concerns and inconsistent fantasy production; Chet Holmgren, whose high ADP didn't reflect his scoring limitations and injury-prone nature; and De'Andre Hunter, whose poor shooting and lack of elite category stats made him a risky pick. The hosts also discuss Zach LaVine, who underperformed despite high expectations, and Anthony Simons, whose top-90 ADP was unjustified given his lack of volume and impact. The episode emphasizes the importance of skepticism toward consensus rankings, especially for players in crowded backcourts or with injury histories. The hosts conclude by teasing a follow-up episode where they’ll examine their own misjudgments—players they recommended that failed and those they avoided that turned out to be successful—inviting listeners to hold them accountable.
Avoid players with inflated ADPs due to injury rumors or team context, even if they’re elite in real life.
Players in crowded backcourts (like Boston’s guard rotation) often underperform fantasy-wise despite high ADPs.
High ADPs for big men with limited scoring or volume (e.g., Chet Holmgren, DeAndre Hunter) are risky bets.
Don’t overvalue players with elite stats in one category (e.g., blocks, assists) if they lack overall production.
Injury history and team context should heavily influence draft strategy, especially in the second round.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Sponsor: State Farm – Protecting Your Game Plan
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ADT promotes its 24/7 monitoring and the ADT Plus app, positioning it as a reliable security solution for homes during emergencies.
Sponsor: Basketball Monster – Fantasy Prep
Sponsorship for Basketball Monster, a fantasy platform, setting the stage for the episode’s focus on draft strategy.
Honorable Mentions: Players I Was Low on But Correctly Avoided
Discussion of Christian Brown, Benedict Bathroom, and Devin Vassell—players the hosts undervalued due to injury concerns, role limitations, and team depth, all of whom underperformed relative to ADP.
The Sacramento Kings: A Factory of Sadness
“I said, we are not touching De’Andre Sabonis at these draft spots. We’re not. On ESPN, he had an ADP of 12. Bro, what are you doing?”
“I said, we are not touching De’Andre Sabonis at these draft spots. We’re not. On ESPN, he had an ADP of 12. Bro, what are you doing?”
“I just could not get my head around this all season. Why were people thinking Anthony Simons was going to be good? I didn't get it.”
“He averaged 16, 12 and four assists. Four. Two years ago he averaged eight. Eight assists.”
Hosts
Josh Lloyd
person
De'Andre Sabonis
person
Wes Goldberg
person
Sacramento Kings
other
Anthony Simons
person
Zach LaVine
person
NBA Playoffs
other
Jalen Williams
person
Indiana Pacers
other
Devin Vassell
person
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