We AVOIDED These Terrible Fantasy Basketball Draft Picks

Locked On Fantasy Basketball – Daily NBA Fantasy Basketball Podcast24mApril 30, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of the Locked On Fantasy Basketball Podcast, hosts Josh Lloyd and Wes Goldberg reflect on their draft-day predictions, focusing on players they advised fans to avoid due to inflated ADPs. They highlight several high-profile busts, including De'Aaron Fox, who was overvalued due to injury concerns and inconsistent fantasy production; Chet Holmgren, whose high ADP didn't reflect his scoring limitations and injury-prone nature; and De'Andre Hunter, whose poor shooting and lack of elite category stats made him a risky pick. The hosts also discuss Zach LaVine, who underperformed despite high expectations, and Anthony Simons, whose top-90 ADP was unjustified given his lack of volume and impact. The episode emphasizes the importance of skepticism toward consensus rankings, especially for players in crowded backcourts or with injury histories. The hosts conclude by teasing a follow-up episode where they’ll examine their own misjudgments—players they recommended that failed and those they avoided that turned out to be successful—inviting listeners to hold them accountable.

Key Takeaways
1

Avoid players with inflated ADPs due to injury rumors or team context, even if they’re elite in real life.

2

Players in crowded backcourts (like Boston’s guard rotation) often underperform fantasy-wise despite high ADPs.

3

High ADPs for big men with limited scoring or volume (e.g., Chet Holmgren, DeAndre Hunter) are risky bets.

4

Don’t overvalue players with elite stats in one category (e.g., blocks, assists) if they lack overall production.

5

Injury history and team context should heavily influence draft strategy, especially in the second round.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Sponsor: State Farm – Protecting Your Game Plan

Introductory ad for State Farm, emphasizing their role in helping customers prepare for life’s unexpected moments with personalized coverage options.

1:45
2 min

Sponsor: ADT – Home Security 24/7

ADT promotes its 24/7 monitoring and the ADT Plus app, positioning it as a reliable security solution for homes during emergencies.

3:20
2 min

Sponsor: Basketball Monster – Fantasy Prep

Sponsorship for Basketball Monster, a fantasy platform, setting the stage for the episode’s focus on draft strategy.

5:00
5 min

Honorable Mentions: Players I Was Low on But Correctly Avoided

Discussion of Christian Brown, Benedict Bathroom, and Devin Vassell—players the hosts undervalued due to injury concerns, role limitations, and team depth, all of whom underperformed relative to ADP.

10:00
5 min

The Sacramento Kings: A Factory of Sadness

I said, we are not touching De’Andre Sabonis at these draft spots. We’re not. On ESPN, he had an ADP of 12. Bro, what are you doing?

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
I said, we are not touching De’Andre Sabonis at these draft spots. We’re not. On ESPN, he had an ADP of 12. Bro, what are you doing?
Josh Lloyd12:12
Viral: 85.0
I just could not get my head around this all season. Why were people thinking Anthony Simons was going to be good? I didn't get it.
Josh Lloyd23:06
Viral: 82.0
He averaged 16, 12 and four assists. Four. Two years ago he averaged eight. Eight assists.
Josh Lloyd13:56
Viral: 78.0
Speakers

Hosts

Josh LloydWes Goldberg
Topics Discussed
Fantasy Basketball Draft Strategy95%Overvalued Players in Fantasy Leagues92%Player Valuation and ADP Analysis90%Team Context and Role Limitations88%Busts and Draft Failures87%Injury Impact on Fantasy Performance85%Consensus vs. Individual Projections83%Category League vs. Points League Value78%
People & Brands

Josh Lloyd

person

15xNeutral

De'Andre Sabonis

person

12xNegative

Wes Goldberg

person

8xNeutral

Sacramento Kings

other

7xNegative

Anthony Simons

person

6xNegative

Zach LaVine

person

6xNegative

NBA Playoffs

other

6xPositive

Jalen Williams

person

5xNegative

Indiana Pacers

other

5xNeutral

Devin Vassell

person

4xNegative

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