Mailbag: Could New England Patriots Trade Up? | Arizona Cardinals Deal?
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In this episode of Locked On Patriots, host Nick Cattles tackles a series of mailbag questions centered on the New England Patriots' draft strategy, particularly focusing on the possibility of trading up in the first round and potential trades involving players like AJ Brown. The discussion explores the feasibility of moving up from the 31st pick, analyzing trade dynamics with teams like Houston, Kansas City, and Miami, and evaluating the cost of moving up using the Rich Hill trade value chart. The hosts express skepticism about giving up high-value picks like a second-round selection unless the target player is a true difference-maker. They also examine the Patriots' pre-draft visit patterns, noting that nearly half of their 2024–2025 draft picks had top-30 visits, though the relevance of such visits as a strategic tool remains questionable. The episode further delves into positional needs—right guard, outside cornerback, linebacker, edge, and interior defensive line—and discusses potential trade targets like Kayvon Thibodeau, Devontae Adams, and Kyle Pitts. Finally, the hosts assess the development of Drake May in his second season under Josh McDaniel, predicting improvement both from the quarterback’s growth and from a better supporting cast. Key takeaways include: the Patriots are unlikely to trade up for a receiver unless the player is a clear difference-maker and the price is reasonable; trading second-round picks for a top-25 selection is more plausible than giving up a first-rounder; pre-draft visits may be more about due diligence than deception; and the team’s long-term rebuilding effort hinges on drafting well and making smart, cost-effective upgrades. The episode ends with a reminder to join the Everydayer Club for ad-free content and exclusive fan access.
The Patriots are unlikely to trade up for a receiver unless the player is a true difference-maker and the cost is justified.
Trading a second-round pick (63) for a top-25 pick is more plausible than giving up a first-rounder.
Pre-draft visits are not a reliable indicator of draft intent, as only ~50% of recent picks had top-30 visits.
The Patriots should prioritize younger, cheaper upgrades at right guard, outside cornerback, and edge.
Trading for established players like Kayvon Thibodeau or Devontae Adams is possible but depends on team fit and cap flexibility.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Welcome & Club Announcement
Nick Cattles welcomes listeners to Locked On Patriots and promotes the Everydayer Club, an ad-free membership offering exclusive content and a fan Discord group.
Can the Patriots Trade Up for Their Guy?
“I do not think the Patriots would be willing to pay an exorbitant amount in draft capital... I don't see that type of trade on the horizon.”
Pre-Draft Visits: Disinformation or Strategy?
Nick investigates the correlation between top-30 pre-draft visits and actual draft picks, revealing that nearly half of the Patriots' 2024–2025 picks had such visits, but cautions against overinterpreting them.
Positions to Target: Younger & Cheaper
“You're still going to have to try to draft a couple of dudes to impact your team in 2027. And that's just the case because you built up so many bad drafts.”
Arizona Trade Scenario: Ty Simpson & 2027 First
“I would have to have a pretty high level of confidence that I would be able to move up in the second round so I don't have to sit around until pick 63.”
“You're still going to have to try to draft a couple of dudes to impact your team in 2027. And that's just the case because you built up so many bad drafts.”
“Malachi Lawrence, if they're going to draft an edge for a second round, Malachi Lawrence is growing on me more and more.”
“I do not think the Patriots would be willing to pay an exorbitant amount in draft capital... I don't see that type of trade on the horizon.”
Host
Nick Cattles
person
Elliott Wolfe
person
Mike Vrabel
person
Drake May
person
Houston Texans
other
Malachi Lawrence
person
Arizona Cardinals
other
Rich Hill Trade Value Chart
other
Josh McDaniel
person
Denzel Boston
person
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Hard Pass: Should Patriots Dismiss Trading 2027 Draft Picks?
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