YEAR ONE CEILING: Michigan State football could EXCEED predictions; Jeremy Fears to NBA Combine

Locked On Spartans - Daily Podcast On Michigan State Spartans Football & Basketball31mMay 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

Michigan State football's 2026 season could exceed the projected 3.5-win over/under, with a realistic ceiling of 8-4 if key injuries are avoided and depth holds up. Host Matt Sheehan walks through a scenario where the Spartans win at home against Nebraska, Illinois, and Northwestern, pull off a surprise win at Wisconsin, and even upset Michigan in a rivalry game—though he stresses this is aspirational, not predictive. The team’s thin roster and lack of returning snaps (27% vs. Notre Dame’s 66%) make such a run unlikely, but not impossible with perfect health and breakout performances from players like Kenny Soares and Inelu Lafayette. On the basketball side, the program is compared to last year’s UConn team—flawed but capable of a Final Four run if they stay healthy and avoid early exits. Meanwhile, Jeremy Fears’ NBA Combine invite, while surprising given his mid-tier draft stock, only slightly increases his chances of leaving for the pros. The episode also tackles fan mail on Devine Ukachuku’s departure, arguing his defensive versatility and ball-handling were more valuable than Kurt Tang’s shooting, and concludes with a humorous take on inviting Sparty the mascot to a wedding rehearsal dinner—$1,000 for 45 minutes of photo ops, but potentially priceless memories.

Key Takeaways
1

Michigan State football could reach an 8-4 record in 2026 if they avoid injuries and get breakout performances from defensive ends Kenny Soares and Inelu Lafayette.

2

A win at Wisconsin, home wins over Illinois and Northwestern, and a surprise upset of Michigan are all required to reach the 8-4 ceiling—though the host calls this a 'dream scenario' not a prediction.

3

Jeremy Fears’ NBA Combine invite raises his pro draft stock from 1% to 2.5%, but he’d need to dramatically improve at the combine to justify leaving Michigan State.

4

Devine Ukachuku’s departure is more impactful than expected—his defense and ball-handling offered more value than Kurt Tang’s shooting, according to BartTorvik.com projections.

5

Michigan State’s 2027 schedule includes elite opponents like Duke, Arizona, and UConn in an exhibition, making it one of the toughest in the nation.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

Welcome & Everydayer Club Intro

Introduction to the Locked On Spartans podcast and promotion of the Everydayer Club, an ad-free listening experience with exclusive Discord access for fans.

2:00
3 min

MSU Football Ceiling: 8-4 Possibility

I'm going to go ahead and get started. That injury bug the last few years. But look, let's talk ourselves into how we get to eight and four this year, okay?

Highlight
5:00
4 min

Why 8-4 Is a Long Shot

The host explains why the 8-4 ceiling is unlikely, citing Michigan State’s 27% returning snaps (119th in the nation) versus Notre Dame’s 66% and the depth issues on both offense and defense.

9:00
5 min

Basketball Ceiling: Final Four Potential

I feel like that's where Michigan State is for next season. Like they are, I feel like just capping their ceiling at a final four is selling them just short.

Highlight
14:00
3 min

Jeremy Fears’ NBA Combine Invite

I don't think that this will vault him into a high enough draft position where he would see everything he'd be leaving on the table...

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
I feel like that's where Michigan State is for next season. Like they are, I feel like just capping their ceiling at a final four is selling them just short.
Matt Sheehan13:33
Viral: 85.0
I'm going to go ahead and get started. That injury bug the last few years. But look, let's talk ourselves into how we get to eight and four this year, okay?
Matt Sheehan3:24
Viral: 72.0
If she's on board if your family is largely michigan state fans And also, like if anyone's giving you a guff about it being a fall wedding, like smooth it over with this.
Matt Sheehan30:58
Viral: 68.0
Speakers

Host

Matt Sheehan
Topics Discussed
michigan state football ceiling92%jeremy fears nba combine88%michigan state schedule 202787%devine ukachuku departure85%michigan state basketball future83%barttorvik projections80%sparty mascot event79%life advice for marriage75%
People & Brands

michigan state football

other

28xPositive

locked on spartans

media

18xPositive

devine ukachuku

person

14xNeutral

kurt tang

person

12xNeutral

matt sheehan

person

12xNeutral

jeremy fears

person

11xNeutral

sparty

other

8xPositive

barttorvik.com

product

6xNeutral

nba combine

other

5xNeutral

everydayer club

other

4xPositive

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