Who's getting those tariff refunds?
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This Friday edition of Marketplace All-in-One dives into the latest U.S. jobs report, which revealed 115,000 new jobs in April with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3%. Host Kyle Rizdahl and economists Heather Long and Greg Ip discuss the mixed signals in the economy: strong job growth in sectors like transportation, warehousing, and construction contrasts with stagnant wage growth and persistent inflation, especially from surging gas prices. A key theme is the 'split-screen economy'—where AI-driven tech stocks soar while Main Street struggles. Despite record highs in the Nasdaq and S&P 500, tech layoffs continue, driven by AI efficiency gains and post-pandemic overhiring, not necessarily job loss from AI itself. Meanwhile, the fallout from Trump’s invalidated tariffs is unfolding: Customs and Border Protection is processing refunds, but the question of who gets the money remains complex. Businesses in the supply chain—especially importers—can claim refunds, but many suppliers refuse, and downstream businesses like restaurants and retailers often can’t recover costs due to opaque pricing and weak bargaining power. The episode also covers the economic ripple effects of Spirit Airlines’ collapse, drawing parallels to Cleveland’s post-merger airport decline, and highlights a surprising resurgence in Mahjong, exemplified by New York’s Sparrows Nest Studio. The episode closes with a playful note on the precision of unemployment rate rounding.
The U.S. economy shows moderate job growth (115,000 in April), but wage growth is outpaced by inflation, especially gas prices.
A 'split-screen economy' persists: AI-driven tech stocks hit record highs while non-tech sectors and workers face financial strain.
Tech layoffs are not solely due to AI; they reflect restructuring and post-pandemic overhiring, with companies reallocating funds to AI investments.
Tariff refunds are being processed, but only importers can claim them—many suppliers are refusing to pass refunds to customers.
Downstream businesses like restaurants and retailers often cannot recover tariff costs due to long, opaque supply chains and weak bargaining power.
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Jobs Report: 115,000 New Jobs, Steady Unemployment
“It's not just the vibes aren't good anymore. You know, wage growth is not keeping up with inflation now. Feeling financially pinched.”
The Split-Screen Economy: AI Boom vs. Main Street Strain
“If the AI boom went bust, which I am not predicting, it wouldn't be that terrible. The economy would still be growing...”
Tech Layoffs and the AI Paradox
“These layoffs are about cutting over here so we can spend the money on AI over there.”
Who Gets the Tariff Refunds?
“If you just agree to pay a price for a good, then, you know, it's not clear that you have any legal entitlement to get that tariff back.”
“If the AI boom went bust, which I am not predicting, it wouldn't be that terrible. The economy would still be growing...”
“It's not just the vibes aren't good anymore. You know, wage growth is not keeping up with inflation now. Feeling financially pinched.”
“It's just such an immense feeling of like gratitude and relief a little bit. And just like, here we are.”
Host
Guests
Heather Long
person
Greg Ip
person
Kyle Rizdahl
person
Sparrows Nest Studio
organization
David Bresnik
person
Spirit Airlines
organization
Mahjong
media
Trump
person
The Wall Street Journal
organization
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport
organization
Inside the "Super Bowl of energy”
Marketplace All-in-One • 15m • 3/31/2026
A fuel-driven economy
Marketplace All-in-One • 25m • 3/31/2026
Happy Liberation-Day-tariff-palooza-versary
Marketplace All-in-One • 25m • 4/1/2026
Wait...where did my retirement money go?
Marketplace All-in-One • 36m • 4/2/2026
One wild year of Trump's tariffs
Marketplace All-in-One • 17m • 4/2/2026
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