“Decade of the Miner”: Generational Opportunity & Smarter Due Diligence with Expert Jonathan Goodman
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In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Bill Powers interviews Jonathan Goodman, President and CEO of Dundee Corporation, about the transformative 'decade of the miner' and the generational investment opportunity in the mining sector. Goodman argues that after a 15-year downturn caused by investor abandonment and geopolitical shifts, mining is poised for a resurgence due to rising demand for critical minerals, supply chain resilience, and improved permitting environments in North America. He emphasizes that the next 10–30 years will be significantly better for mining professionals and investors alike. Goodman shares his deep operational experience, including building mines in Bulgaria and Serbia, and critiques the overreliance on flawed valuation tools like DCF models, which fail to account for the long-term potential of high-grade ore bodies. He stresses the importance of independent due diligence, understanding geological models, and recognizing that many projects have hidden upside not captured in official reports. Goodman also discusses how Dundee Corporation uses internal analysis, AI, and small strategic investments to de-risk opportunities and create value, while cautioning retail investors about the sector's extreme volatility and the need for discipline and continuous learning. Key takeaways include: (1) The mining sector is entering a generational opportunity driven by geopolitical and economic shifts; (2) DCF models are inadequate for valuing mines—geology and long-term potential matter more; (3) Investors should scrutinize PEA/PFS reports for risk disclosures and recommendations, not just headline numbers; (4) Smaller, early-stage projects with strong geology and experienced teams offer high upside; (5) Dundee’s strategy of independent analysis and small, supportive investments gives it a competitive edge; (6) Retail investors can succeed by focusing on fundamentals, avoiding emotional attachment, and doing their own due diligence; (7) The mining sector offers 10x return potential but also rapid losses—discipline is essential; (8) Companies like Dundee that build operational assets and generate predictable cash flow can overcome traditional market discounts to NAV. Overall, the episode presents a compelling case for thoughtful, long-term engagement with mining stocks.
The mining sector is entering a generational opportunity due to geopolitical shifts, supply chain concerns, and improved permitting in North America.
DCF models are flawed for mine valuation—long-term ore body potential often exceeds initial projections.
PEA and PFS reports are engineering stage gates, not valuation tools; investors should focus on risk disclosures and recommendations.
Smaller, early-stage projects with strong geology and experienced teams offer high upside and lower risk than large, complex developments.
Independent due diligence—especially geological and metallurgical analysis—can uncover hidden value not reflected in official reports.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Decade of the Miner: A Generational Opportunity
“Mining has entered a generational opportunity for investment. And elsewhere, I've heard you say that it's the decade of the miner.”
The Collapse and Rebirth of Mining Investment
Goodman traces the decline of mining investment from 2010 onward, when generalist investors abandoned the sector in favor of tech stocks, leading to a 15-year drought. He explains how the industry is now rebounding due to strategic imperatives around resource security.
Why DCF Models Fail and What to Do Instead
“If you could buy a mine for its discounted cash flow MPB, you're doing great because you could be sitting there. Most mines don't look out more than 10 years. And so you buy a mine with a 10-year mine life and a DCF and you mine it for 10 years and you're sitting there with another 10 years ahead of you.”
The Problem with PEA, PFS, and 43-101 Reports
“These things are stage gates. They're engineering stage gates. They were never meant to be valuation tools.”
Dundee’s Competitive Edge: Independent Analysis and Small Bets
“We try and stay in things that we actually know, understand, have experiences with, can bring something to the table.”
“If you could buy a mine for its discounted cash flow MPB, you're doing great because you could be sitting there. Most mines don't look out more than 10 years. And so you buy a mine with a 10-year mine life and a DCF and you mine it for 10 years and you're sitting there with another 10 years ahead of you.”
“Don't fall in love with stocks. Don't be overly confident and just do your work as best you can.”
“Mining has entered a generational opportunity for investment. And elsewhere, I've heard you say that it's the decade of the miner.”
Host
Guest
Jonathan Goodman
person
Dundee Corporation
organization
Bill Powers
person
West Haven
organization
Chalapet Mine
other
Demagri Mine
other
Barrick
organization
Yana Cochum Line
other
Bulgaria
place
Laronne Mine
other
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