“Decade of the Miner”: Generational Opportunity & Smarter Due Diligence with Expert Jonathan Goodman
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In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Bill Powers interviews Jonathan Goodman, President and CEO of Dundee Corporation, about the transformative opportunities in the mining sector over the next decade. Goodman argues that mining has entered a 'generational opportunity' due to global supply chain vulnerabilities, geopolitical shifts, and renewed focus on domestic resource development in North America. He emphasizes that governments in the U.S. and Canada are now actively working to streamline permitting, marking a significant departure from past delays. Goodman shares his deep skepticism toward traditional valuation tools like DCF models, citing how they fail to account for the long-term potential of mines that exceed initial life estimates. He critiques the current 43-101 process for turning feasibility studies into marketing documents, urging investors to focus on the 'recommendations' and 'risks' sections to uncover hidden upside. Drawing from his experience building mines in Bulgaria and Serbia, he highlights the importance of geological realism, conservative engineering, and independent due diligence. Goodman also discusses Dundee’s strategy of investing in small, high-potential assets—like the West Haven project—where early-stage, low-cost development can unlock massive value. He concludes with practical advice for retail investors: focus on track record, understand the science behind the geology, and avoid emotional attachment to stocks.
The next 10–30 years represent a generational opportunity in mining due to geopolitical risks and supply chain re-shoring.
Governments in North America are now actively streamlining mine permitting, a major shift from past decades of delay.
DCF models are unreliable for mining projects; actual mine life often exceeds initial estimates by years.
Feasibility studies (PEA/PFS) are engineering stage gates, not valuation tools—investors should scrutinize their risk and recommendation sections.
Independent due diligence, especially geological and metallurgical analysis, is key to uncovering upside not reflected in official reports.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Decade of the Miner: A Generational Investment Opportunity
“We got a lot of catching up to do. We got mines to build. And if we're going to build the mines and build the mines in areas where we can make sure they get permitted, they're going to be built in Canada, the United States, and places where they kind of think like we think.”
The Failure of DCF and the Reality of Mine Life
“If you valued an IDCF basis in 2003 with a seven-year mine life, you would have valued it from 2003 to 2010. So everything that happened after 2010 wasn't in your valuation.”
The Marketing of Feasibility Studies: When Engineering Becomes Sales
“These things are stage gates. They were never meant to be valuation tools. And that's why I've always argued that the whole 43-101 process... has actually hurt the industry more than it's helped.”
Independent Due Diligence: Seeing What Others Miss
“Sometimes you can see like that stuff we talked about before where there's a whole bunch of drilling. It's not in the resource and it's certainly not even drilled to the characteristic where anybody would call it a resource, but it still tells you a story.”
The Power of Small, Phased Projects and Contrarian Bets
Goodman shares examples like Demagri (now Laronne) and Yana Cocha, where small, initially dismissed projects became major assets through phased development. He emphasizes the advantage of starting small to de-risk development and avoid the pressure of massive capital commitments.
“Don't fall in love with stocks. Don't be overly confident and just do your work as best you can. Do your very best but don't fall in love and don't get too overly confident because that's a recipe for disaster.”
“If you valued an IDCF basis in 2003 with a seven-year mine life, you would have valued it from 2003 to 2010. So everything that happened after 2010 wasn't in your valuation.”
“These things are stage gates. They were never meant to be valuation tools. And that's why I've always argued that the whole 43-101 process... has actually hurt the industry more than it's helped.”
Host
Guest
Jonathan Goodman
person
Dundee Corporation
organization
Bill Powers
person
West Haven Asset
other
43-101
other
Chalapet Mine
other
PEA
other
PFS
other
Yana Cocha Line
other
Barrick
organization
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