Percent Chance w/ Ben Leber | 4-9-26
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In this episode of Percent Chance, Ben Leber and co-host Sauce dive into the Minnesota Vikings' upcoming draft strategy with a mix of humor, sharp analysis, and candid takes on roster needs. The conversation centers on key position questions: Ben gives a 75% chance that Blake Brendel starts at center for the first four games, praising his versatility despite a new position. He raises the odds to 85% that the Vikings select tight end Kenyon Sadiq at pick 18 if available, citing need and value. For wide receiver, Ben assigns only a 15% chance that Ty Felton becomes WR3, highlighting the team’s ongoing need for a true No. 3 receiver. On defense, he rates Jay Ward’s chance of starting for an NFL team at 60%, while favoring safety Thienemann over McNeil-Warner for his polish and scheme fit. The hosts also discuss potential draft targets like Peter Woods, Avian Terrell, and Jermon McCoy, and debate whether the Vikings will move up for Caleb Downs—Ben dismisses it as under 10% likely. Throughout, the banter is lively, with playful jabs, absurd hypotheticals, and recurring jokes about 'Penis Theme Park' and 'Sarah McLachlan’s wrong song.' The episode is framed by multiple podcast promos—Superhuman, Deeply Well, Inside American Soccer, and Soccer Moms—highlighting iHeartRadio’s role in promoting sports and lifestyle content. Despite the comedic tone, the draft analysis remains grounded in team needs, player evaluation, and realistic expectations. Ben’s confidence in Brendel and Sadiq, combined with skepticism about Felton and draft movement, reflects a balanced, cautious approach. The overall vibe is upbeat and engaging, blending football strategy with irreverent humor, making it both informative and entertaining for Vikings fans.
Blake Brendel has a 75% chance of starting at center for the first four games, thanks to his versatility and offseason preparation.
The Vikings have an 85% chance of drafting tight end Kenyon Sadiq at pick 18 if he’s available, especially if the Chiefs don’t take him.
Ty Felton has only a 15% chance of being the Vikings’ WR3, underscoring the team’s need for a true No. 3 receiver.
Jay Ward has a 60% chance of starting for an NFL team, with Ben believing he’s exceeded expectations.
Ben rates Thienemann as the better fit over McNeil-Warner due to his scheme awareness and polish.
…and 1 more takeaway available in PodZeus
Podcast Promos & Opening Banter
The episode opens with a series of podcast promos for Superhuman, Deeply Well, Inside American Soccer, and Soccer Moms, followed by the hosts' playful introduction to 'Percent Chance' with exaggerated lines and comedic mishaps.
Blake Brendel as Starting Center
“He's kind of proven us all wrong throughout his whole time here. I mean, you want to play right tackle? Done. Left tackle? Done. Play guard spot? Done. Like, he fills in awesomely.”
Drafting Kenyon Sadiq at 18
“If he's there at 18 and a couple of the other corners have been taken even if Thineman is there even if McNeil Warren is there from Toledo I still think that Sadiq is the better of the two players.”
Ty Felton as WR3 & Draft Strategy
“I'd put it actually the percentage pretty low that Felton is your number three next year.”
Jay Ward & Safety Draft Outlook
“Thienemann is much more intentional about where he runs. McNeil Warren is a bigger guy... but he'll also swing and a miss. Way too many missed tackles.”
“Thienemann is much more intentional about where he runs. McNeil Warren is a bigger guy... but he'll also swing and a miss. Way too many missed tackles.”
“If he's there at 18 and a couple of the other corners have been taken even if Thineman is there even if McNeil Warren is there from Toledo I still think that Sadiq is the better of the two players.”
“He's kind of proven us all wrong throughout his whole time here. I mean, you want to play right tackle? Done. Left tackle? Done. Play guard spot? Done. Like, he fills in awesomely.”
Hosts
Ben Leber
person
Sauce
person
Apple Podcasts
other
iHeartRadio
other
Blake Brendel
person
Kenyon Sadiq
person
Thienemann
person
Jay Ward
person
McNeil-Warner
person
Ty Felton
person
Ben Goessling with PA #92Noon!
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Emmett Johnson with PA #92Noon
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Adam Thielen with PA #92Noon!
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