GREG WELDON: Key Price Levels on Silver, Stagflation Coming Bigtime

Money Metals' Weekly Market Wrap Podcast41mApril 17, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this week's Money Metals' Weekly Market Wrap, host Mike Meharry interviews renowned commodities trader Greg Weldon, who delivers a comprehensive analysis of the current state of precious metals, the global economy, and geopolitical risks. Weldon argues that the recent consolidation in gold and silver prices is a temporary pause before a major breakout, driven by the weakening dollar and the growing likelihood of stagflation. He highlights alarming labor market data—2.4 million people have dropped out of the workforce over the past year, pushing the U.S. labor participation rate to its lowest since 1977—and warns that the real unemployment rate would be 5.6% if discouraged workers were counted. He ties this to a broader economic crisis, where inflation remains entrenched in services, consumer spending is under strain, and credit card debt is nearing saturation. Weldon also discusses the geopolitical catalysts, including the war with Iran and the shifting dynamics in Taiwan, which he sees as accelerating the decline of the U.S. dollar and the rise of the Chinese renminbi. He predicts a significant move in gold and silver, with silver needing to break above $92 to confirm a new bull leg, and emphasizes the importance of physical metals and alternative assets like water ETFs and crypto in a world of systemic risk. Weldon’s insights are grounded in decades of market experience, psychological discipline, and a macro view that transcends headlines. He critiques the disconnect between the stock market’s record highs and the deteriorating fundamentals of the real economy, attributing it to AI-driven narratives and a media ecosystem that benefits from perpetual market optimism. He also shares a personal anecdote about receiving silver bars from his father as a teenager, underscoring the lasting impact of early exposure to precious metals. The episode concludes with a call to action for listeners to access Weldon’s free daily global macro strategy report and explore his managed accounts, while reinforcing Money Metals’ mission to provide independent, data-driven financial intelligence in an era of hidden risks and systemic fragility.

Key Takeaways
1

The U.S. labor force participation rate is at its lowest since 1977, with 2.4 million people dropping out over the past year—signaling a deepening economic crisis.

2

Real unemployment, if measured properly, would be 5.6%, not the reported 4.3%, indicating stagflation is already underway.

3

Silver needs to break above $92 to confirm a new bull market; Weldon recommends buying now at risk levels just under $70.

4

The dollar’s decline is inevitable due to geopolitical alienation, trade missteps, and the rise of the renminbi as a global reserve alternative.

5

Stagflation is no longer a possibility—it’s here, driven by persistent service inflation, declining real wages, and a collapsing consumer base.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
5 min

Introduction & Market Update

Mike Meharry introduces the episode, previewing the interview with Greg Weldon and summarizing key market developments, including the CFTC’s support for the Silver Act, consumer spending strain, and a recent rally in precious metals following a ceasefire in the Middle East.

5:00
10 min

The Silver Act & Market Concentration Risk

The episode details the Silver Act, a bipartisan bill aimed at diversifying precious metals depositories beyond the New York City area. Lawmakers and industry leaders argue that the current geographic concentration poses systemic risks to market stability, national security, and investor access.

15:00
10 min

Consumer Debt & the End of the Credit-Driven Economy

A deep dive into the U.S. consumer debt crisis: revolving credit has surged from $979B to $1.33T since 2020, growth has stalled, and the personal savings rate is at its lowest since 2008. The episode warns that the credit card model is unsustainable and that hitting credit limits will trigger a major economic slowdown.

25:00
10 min

Greg Weldon on the War, Dollar, and Market Psychology

I got out 98 and a little bit higher. And then when it went to like 115 or whatever the high was in silver, I was pissed that we got out of 98. And then when it was 75 in two days, I was like, oh yeah, we got out of 98. So this is a psychological war you go through with yourself.

Highlight
35:00
15 min

Stagflation: The Real Economic Crisis

The winner of the war is to solidify concrete stagflation, which I've been expecting really since the middle of last year. You can see it in a lot of places. It's not just even in the U.S., all right?

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
The winner of the war is to solidify concrete stagflation, which I've been expecting really since the middle of last year. You can see it in a lot of places. It's not just even in the U.S., all right?
Greg Weldon28:05
Viral: 90.0
This opposition leader became... She spearheaded the blocking of the expansion of the Taiwanese budget deficit to 5% of GDP that would have allowed them to make that huge purchase of U.S. weapons and technology, that never happened. And no one talks about the fact it didn't happen.
Greg Weldon35:08
Viral: 88.0
I think the next biggest story that nobody's talking about, which shocks the hell out of me, is that the opposition party leader in Taiwan... is the party that ruled China when it was mainland China from 1912 to 1949.
Greg Weldon20:07
Viral: 86.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mike MeharryMike Leeson

Guest

Greg Weldon
Topics Discussed
Stagflation95%Labor Market Participation90%Dollar Decline88%Precious Metals Markets85%Geopolitical Risk82%Consumer Debt Crisis80%Renminbi Rise78%Climate and Water Scarcity75%
People & Brands

China

place

15xNeutral

U.S. Dollar

other

14xNegative

Silver

other

13xPositive

Greg Weldon

person

12xPositive

Gold

other

11xPositive

Mike Meharry

person

10xPositive

Taiwan

place

8xNeutral

Fed

organization

8xNegative

Iran

place

7xNegative

Xi Jinping

person

6xNeutral

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