MiLB Bold Predictions
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In this episode of 'On The Verge,' hosts Bob, Nick, and Zach dive into bold predictions for the Orioles' minor league system, building on last year's listener prediction grading format. This year, they introduce a dual scoring system—evaluating each prediction on both boldness and plausibility—using a 20-80 scale. The discussion covers a wide range of prospects, from Luis DeLeon and Joseph Jirwa to emerging names like Thomas Sosa and Jayden Luray. Key themes include aggressive promotion timelines, Rule 5 eligibility concerns, and the potential for breakout seasons. The hosts also reflect on the Orioles' developmental philosophy, trade speculation, and the balance between player growth and organizational needs. The episode concludes with the hosts sharing their own bold predictions, including multiple players making their MLB debut and several prospects advancing three levels in 2026.
Use a dual scoring system (boldness and plausibility) to evaluate prospect predictions for more nuanced analysis.
Prospects like Thomas Sosa and Jayden Luray have strong upside but face hurdles in defensive consistency and sample size.
Rule 5 eligibility and organizational depth will heavily influence trade decisions and promotion timelines.
Aggressive promotion is possible if players perform at high levels, especially in the FCL and low-A.
The Orioles' pitching depth could be tested, potentially leading to early MLB debuts for multiple arms.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Introduction and Sponsor Segment
The episode opens with a sponsor announcement for IQ Bar, highlighting their clean-label protein bars, hydration mixes, and mushroom coffees. A special 20% discount is offered to listeners via text message.
New Prediction Grading System Explained
The hosts introduce a revised grading system for bold predictions, now scoring both boldness and plausibility on a 20-80 scale to better assess listener predictions.
Vivek’s Prediction: Three Left-Handed Pitchers in Top 100
The hosts evaluate Vivek’s prediction that Luis DeLeon, Joseph Jirwa, and Boston Bateman will all be top 100 prospects by year’s end, with mixed confidence in Bateman’s immediate potential.
EJ’s Prediction: Joseph Jirwa in Norfolk
The hosts assess EJ’s prediction that Jirwa will end the year in Norfolk, noting precedent from Trey Gibson’s rapid rise and the importance of health and performance.
Arantia’s Three-Level Promotion Prediction
The hosts debate Brian Arantia’s potential to go three levels in 2026, citing his high upside but questioning his role and the Orioles’ cautious approach to development.
“I don't want to see Thomas Sosa become somebody else's Anthony Santander. That would be my big fear.”
“This might be my favorite one so far... I could easily see this being a situation that plays itself out.”
“I hope he never catches a game with the Orioles. Put him in right field, let the bat play.”
Hosts
Thomas Sosa
person
IQ Bar
brand
Enrique Bradfield Jr.
person
Frederick
other
Joseph Jirwa
person
EJ
person
Aaron Estrada
person
Luis DeLeon
person
Colton Couser
person
Nate George
person
Extension Season
On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast • 38m • 4/3/2026
MiLB Opening Weekend
On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast • 41m • 4/7/2026
PATREON PREVIEW: MiLB Recap - 4/13/26
On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast • 31m • 4/14/2026
Prospect Hot List
On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast • 37m • 4/15/2026
April Mailbag
On The Verge | An Orioles Prospect Podcast • 30m • 4/16/2026
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