398: Newbury & Ayr Preview | Horse Racing Tips | Racing Postcast | Unibet

Racing Post58mApril 16, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The Racing Postcast Episode 398 delivers comprehensive previews for the ITV racing card featuring action from Ayr and Newbury, with expert analysis from Sam Hart, Keith Mellers, Johnny Pearson, and Ed Nicholson. The episode begins with a detailed breakdown of the Ayr meeting, focusing on the Scottish Grand National and the Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle, where opinions diverge on favorites like Tutti Quanti, Calico, and Tell Her The Name. The panel debates form, weight, and trainer strategy, particularly highlighting Dan Skelton’s targeted approach and the absence of Willie Mullins’ usual dominance. The Newbury segment covers Group 3 flat races, including the Fred Darling Stakes and the Greenham, with strong views on overlooked horses like Stimulative Trip and Alpazlan, and cautious takes on favorites like Zavateri and Albert Einstein. The show concludes with the panel’s 'best bets' for the day, featuring Tutti Quanti, Cadeau-Saint-Frey, and Kim Rock. Throughout, the hosts emphasize the importance of form, track conditions, and long-term potential over hype. Key takeaways include: (1) Always evaluate horses based on recent form and trip suitability, not just reputation; (2) Consider the strategic planning behind trainer entries—especially Skelton’s targeted approach; (3) Be wary of overvalued favorites, particularly in high-stakes races like the Scottish Grand National; (4) Look for horses with strong pedigrees and consistent performances, even if they’re overlooked; (5) Use tools like Unibet’s anti-post markets and Racing Post’s going models to spot value; (6) The Greenham and Spring Cup are ideal for identifying future classic contenders; (7) Ground conditions are critical—especially in Scottish races where soft ground is rare; (8) Don’t underestimate horses with strong all-weather or international form. The tone is informative, balanced, and cautiously optimistic, with a strong emphasis on strategic betting and long-term horse development.

Key Takeaways
1

Evaluate horses based on recent form and trip suitability, not just reputation.

2

Consider the strategic planning behind trainer entries—especially Skelton’s targeted approach.

3

Be wary of overvalued favorites, particularly in high-stakes races like the Scottish Grand National.

4

Look for horses with strong pedigrees and consistent performances, even if they’re overlooked.

5

Use tools like Unibet’s anti-post markets and Racing Post’s going models to spot value.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Ayr Opening: Scottish Grand National Preview

He's not screaming out to me as a horse that's going to improve for a marathon trip. Probably stay it. But, you know, I'm happy enough to let him win at 5-1.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Coral Scottish Champion Hurdle & Mare's Handicap Hurdle

He's only a six-year-old. There's lots of benefits here. Once again, as with Matata, class will show through and Tutti Quanti is the most likely winner of this race by far.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Flat Racing at Newbury: Fred Darling & Greenham Stakes

I think Dubai form can be overlooked. Taita Rowe will end up beating Talk of New York in Dubai after a couple of runs.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

John Porter Stakes & Spring Cup Handicap

The John Porter Stakes is previewed with a focus on Convergent and Pride of Arras, with Ed Nicholson favoring Convergent. The Spring Cup is discussed as a deep handicap, with Keith Mellers selecting Stem and Ed Nicholson backing Linwood. The panel highlights the importance of form, jockey bookings, and the potential for lightly raced horses to improve.

40:00
10 min

Best Bets & Final Analysis

If you're going to bet seriously, you need a serious edge.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
Try not to become a man of success, but rather try to become a man of value.
Ed Nicholson43:25
Viral: 95.0
If you're going to bet seriously, you need a serious edge.
Racing Post30:12
Viral: 90.0
He's only a six-year-old. There's lots of benefits here. Once again, as with Matata, class will show through and Tutti Quanti is the most likely winner of this race by far.
Johnny Pearson16:54
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Host

Sam Hart

Guests

Keith MellersJohnny PearsonEd Nicholson
Topics Discussed
Scottish Grand National95%Horse Form Analysis90%Betting Strategy85%Flat Racing Trials85%Trainer Strategy80%International Form75%Ground Conditions75%Jockey & Trainer Pairings70%
People & Brands

Unibet

brand

25xPositive

Racing Post

organization

20xPositive

Keith Mellers

person

20xPositive

Johnny Pearson

person

18xPositive

Newbury

place

18xNeutral

Ed Nicholson

person

17xPositive

Ayr

place

15xNeutral

Sam Hart

person

15xNeutral

Kim Rock

other

12xPositive

Tutti Quanti

other

10xPositive

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