Sleep at Night Portfolio, Big Tech Earnings Week, Spotify Blows Up, Josh on Joby

The Compound and Friends1h 6mApril 28, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this dynamic episode of The Compound and Friends, hosts Josh Brown and Michael Batnick dive deep into a pivotal week of Big Tech earnings, analyzing Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple as they report amid a historic corporate earnings boom. The duo highlights a remarkable 43% year-over-year earnings growth in the tech sector—driven largely by chipmakers like NVIDIA, Micron, and Sandisk—challenging narratives of a bubble and emphasizing that strong fundamentals, not speculation, are fueling market gains. They explore the broader market resilience, with revenue and earnings rising across nearly every S&P 500 sector despite inflationary pressures. The conversation shifts to investment strategies, spotlighting Michael Hartnett’s 'Sleep at Night Portfolio' and the classic Permanent Portfolio as low-volatility, inflation-resistant alternatives for investors seeking peace of mind. The hosts debate the trade-offs: while these portfolios sacrifice explosive upside during bull markets, they deliver remarkable consistency and sleep-inducing stability. The episode concludes with a bold, personal case for Joby Aviation—a speculative eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing) company—after Josh shares his firsthand experience at a test flight from JFK to Manhattan, praising its quiet, safe, and vertically integrated design. The hosts also dissect Robinhood’s struggles, Jane Street’s staggering $30 billion in annual cash flow, and the growing 'ludicrous list' of overvalued, high-momentum stocks, cautioning against chasing parabolic rallies. The episode closes with a mystery: the smallest Dow stock, Nike, facing a potential exit from the index amid a 78% market cap decline and management missteps.

Key Takeaways
1

Tech earnings growth is real and broad-based, with 43% YoY gains in the sector—not just driven by AI but by fundamental improvements across chips, materials, and services.

2

The 'Sleep at Night' and Permanent Portfolio strategies offer exceptional downside protection (95%+ positive annual returns) but require sacrificing participation in bull market rallies.

3

Chip stocks like Micron and Sandisk are experiencing unprecedented earnings acceleration—forward EPS estimates have surged 800%+ in a year—making them central to the current market narrative.

4

Investors should avoid buying stocks with RSIs above 80; even the most momentum-driven names like NVIDIA and AMD are now overextended and due for pullbacks.

5

Joby Aviation represents a high-risk, long-term bet on urban air mobility, with real-world test flights already underway and a vision spanning decades of technological integration.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Welcome & Chat Energy

The hosts kick off the show with energetic banter, greeting fans in the live chat, including Akbar, Patrick Othrow, and Giancarlo. They set the tone with playful banter about hood, Taco Tuesday, and the return of Michael Batnick, while teasing upcoming topics like earnings season and the sleep at night portfolio.

10:00
10 min

Big Tech Earnings Preview: Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Apple

Apple has done more revenue with the iPhone over the last 12 months than Nvidia. All of Nvidia.

Highlight
20:00
20 min

The Great Earnings Boom: Fundamentals Over Bubbles

It's almost as if this is about earnings growth, which is what we all—always has been.

Highlight
40:00
20 min

Sleep at Night & Permanent Portfolio: The Case for Calm

The permanent portfolio is almost never down. 98% is like, that's like you're almost never down.

Highlight
1:00:00
20 min

The Ludicrous List & Chip Stock Paranoia

No stock should be at 88 except for the day it comes public. Doubles.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
No stock should be at 88 except for the day it comes public. Doubles.
Michael Batnick44:04
Viral: 95.0
I absolutely think the stock could 10x. Also, it could go to zero. I just – I won't be the one that knows for sure.
Josh Brown61:56
Viral: 92.0
Apple has done more revenue with the iPhone over the last 12 months than Nvidia. All of Nvidia.
Josh Brown19:02
Viral: 90.0
Speakers

Hosts

Josh BrownMichael Batnick

Guest

Joe Ben
Topics Discussed
Big Tech Earnings Season95%eVTOL and Urban Air Mobility92%Chip Stock Momentum90%Sleep at Night Portfolio88%Permanent Portfolio Strategy85%High-Frequency Trading and Market Makers82%Market Bubbles and Valuations80%Retail Investor Behavior75%
People & Brands

Josh Brown

person

120xPositive

Michael Batnick

person

115xPositive

NVIDIA

organization

28xPositive

Amazon

organization

25xPositive

Meta

organization

22xPositive

Microsoft

organization

20xPositive

Apple

organization

18xPositive

Joby Aviation

organization

15xPositive

Robinhood

organization

12xNegative

Jane Street

organization

8xPositive

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