Sunday Best Bets | Buffalo at Montreal & Matt’s Top Plays

The Daily Juice - BettingPros12mMay 10, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this Sunday morning episode of The Daily Juice, host Matt Peralta delivers his betting picks for key matchups across hockey, basketball, and baseball, while also reflecting on the controversial UFC middleweight championship decision between Islam Makhachev and Sean Strickland. Peralta expresses frustration with the split decision in favor of Strickland, arguing that Makhachev dominated in takedowns and control despite Strickland's effective jab, and criticizes the judging panel's lack of experience, especially in non-Nevada venues like New Jersey. He then outlines three main betting plays: the Buffalo Sabres on the money line against Montreal, the over on the Knicks vs. 76ers game four, and the under on the Royals vs. Tigers Sunday night baseball game. Peralta emphasizes the importance of context—such as team momentum, historical performance, and situational factors like closeout games—when making betting decisions. The episode concludes with a promotional segment for Hard Rock Bet and a brief ad for the podcast 'Superhuman'.

Key Takeaways
1

Makhachev dominated the fight in takedowns and control, and the split decision in favor of Strickland was controversial.

2

Betting on the over in closeout NBA games is a strong strategic play due to increased desperation and fouls.

3

The under is a solid play in low-scoring baseball matchups, especially when one team struggles offensively.

4

Judging consistency and experience matter—non-Nevada states like New Jersey have less experienced panels for high-stakes MMA fights.

5

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Chapters
0:00
2 min

Podcast Intro & Sponsor Tease

The episode begins with a promotional segment for 'Humor Me with Robert Smigel and Friends' and a brief ad for the podcast 'Superhuman', both aired via iHeartRadio.

2:10
6 min

UFC Controversy: Makhachev vs. Strickland Decision

I'm sorry, that fight was 3-2. I gave Strickland rounds two and round three. Rounds one, four, and five go to Chemaev. I'm not going to say robbery. I'm not going to see fixed, but Jemayev won that fight, period.

Highlight
8:14
6 min

Hockey: Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens

Peralta analyzes Game 3 of the Sabres vs. Canadiens series, citing Buffalo’s strong road record and prior win at the Bell Center. He favors the Sabres on the money line and backs the over 5.5 goals, predicting a 4-2 Sabres victory similar to Game 1.

14:07
3 min

Basketball: Knicks vs. 76ers Game 4

With the Knicks leading 3-0, Peralta predicts a high-scoring closeout game due to Philadelphia’s desperation. He recommends the over 213.5 points, noting that closeout games often go over due to fouls and extended possessions.

17:03
3 min

Baseball: Royals vs. Tigers Sunday Night Game

Peralta highlights the low-scoring trend in the series, with the Tigers scoring only four runs in two games. He favors the under 8.5 runs, citing weak offensive output from both teams and favorable pitching matchups.

High-Impact Quotes
I'm sorry, that fight was 3-2. I gave Strickland rounds two and round three. Rounds one, four, and five go to Chemaev. I'm not going to say robbery. I'm not going to see fixed, but Jemayev won that fight, period.
Matt Peralta5:33
Viral: 85.0
The best play in this game though is the over 213 for the Knicks and the Sixers today in game four.
Matt Peralta8:30
Viral: 70.0
Closeout games, you're going to get fouls. You're going to get the game to be extended.
Matt Peralta8:02
Viral: 68.0
Speakers

Host

Matt Peralta
Topics Discussed
UFC Fight Controversy95%NHL Playoff Betting88%NBA Closeout Game Trends85%Baseball Under Trends80%Betting System Promotions75%Judging Consistency in MMA70%Road Performance in Hockey65%Pitching Matchups in Baseball60%
People & Brands

Matt Peralta

person

12xPositive

Buffalo Sabres

other

10xPositive

Montreal Canadiens

other

9xNeutral

Islam Makhachev

person

8xPositive

New York Knicks

other

8xPositive

Detroit Tigers

other

8xNeutral

Philadelphia 76ers

other

7xNegative

Sean Strickland

person

7xNeutral

Kansas City Royals

other

7xNeutral

Hard Rock Bet

brand

5xPositive

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