Our Top 150 Big Board Risers and Fallers. Plus, Don’t Be Surprised If …

The McShay Show1h 6mApril 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of The McShay Show, host Mel Kiper Jr. and co-host Mitch Goldich dive into their updated Top 150 NFL Draft board, just 17 days before the draft. They discuss key risers and fallers, with a focus on positional value, team needs, and NFL front office conversations. Key risers include Carnell Tate, who’s projected to go higher than expected due to his elite route-running and zero drops this season, and Devin Moore, a physically gifted corner with injury history but elite athleticism who could be a late-round steal. Fallers include Avion Terrell, whose poor pro day performance and hamstring issues may drop him, and Jeremy Bernard, whose grade fell from 50 to 78 due to concerns about his size, route running, and consistency. The hosts debate the top 11 players likely to go in the top 12 picks, highlighting Arvel Reese, Fernando Mendoza, and Sonny Stiles as elite prospects, while also discussing the evolving landscape of the cornerback position, with Jermod McCoy now ranked as a top-10 talent after a strong pro day despite a year-long absence. They also introduce the 'Don’t Be Surprised If...' segment, spotlighting under-the-radar players like Moore and the potential for Ohio State’s Stiles and Tate to land in the top five. The episode closes with a preview of upcoming content, including a mock draft 4.0 and final board updates.

Key Takeaways
1

Carnell Tate is a top-tier receiver with elite route-running and zero drops; he could be a top-5 pick despite being mocked later.

2

Devin Moore, despite injury history, has elite size and speed; if healthy, he could be a steal in the late rounds.

3

Jermod McCoy is now a top-10 corner after a strong pro day, though his absence from the 2024 season raises questions about his readiness.

4

Sonny Stiles and Carnell Tate may go in the top five due to elite traits and strong NFL team interest.

5

The offensive tackle and edge rusher positions are deep, driving early value and creating positional runs.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Top 150 Launch & Draft Countdown

Last five years, no one has been more accurate in the top 100. 86 out of 100 is what I've averaged.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

The 17 'Lock' First-Rounders

There are 17 guys in this draft that are first-rounders in every draft, and I'm going to rip through them real quickly.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Risers: Tate, Moore, McCoy & Stiles

Don’t be surprised if Devin Moore turns into one of the steals in this draft.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

Fallers: Terrell, Bernard & Inatchor

Avion Terrell and Jeremy Bernard are discussed as fallers due to poor pro day performances and concerns about size, consistency, and production. Maxie Inatchor is also noted as potentially overvalued due to developmental concerns.

40:00
10 min

Positional Value & Draft Strategy

The hosts analyze how positional value drives draft board movement, especially for offensive tackles and edge rushers. They explain why clusters of high-graded players (like 90+ grades) are grouped together and how team needs influence rankings.

High-Impact Quotes
I'm looking for Sully landing my plane in the Hudson. And that's what Delaney is.
Mitch Goldich46:06
Viral: 90.0
Last five years, no one has been more accurate in the top 100. 86 out of 100 is what I've averaged.
Mel Kiper Jr.3:58
Viral: 85.0
Don’t be surprised if Devin Moore turns into one of the steals in this draft.
Mel Kiper Jr.50:14
Viral: 82.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mel Kiper Jr.Mitch Goldich
Topics Discussed
NFL Draft Board Updates95%Player Riser and Faller Analysis90%Positional Value in Draft Strategy88%Cornerback Rankings and Comparisons85%Mock Draft Preparation82%Pro Day Impact on Draft Stock80%Under-the-Radar Draft Picks78%Agent Influence on Draft Stock75%
People & Brands

Mel Kiper Jr.

person

120xPositive

Mitch Goldich

person

98xPositive

Carnell Tate

person

24xPositive

Jermod McCoy

person

22xPositive

Devin Moore

person

18xPositive

Sonny Stiles

person

16xPositive

Ohio State

other

14xPositive

Mansoor Delaney

person

14xPositive

Jeremy Bernard

person

12xNegative

Arvel Reese

person

11xPositive

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