Cartels' growing impact on mining in South America, ft MINING[dot]com's Cecilia Jamasmie

The Northern Miner Podcast1h 16mApril 7, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

This episode of The Northern Miner Podcast explores the growing geopolitical and security challenges facing the mining industry in South America, with a deep dive into the rise of cartels and criminal activity impacting mining operations in Bolivia, Chile, and Colombia. Host Adrian Pocabelli begins with global energy developments, including China's push for a new energy system and the impact of the Iran war on critical metals like aluminum, copper, and sulfur. The central focus then shifts to an in-depth interview with Cecilia Jemazmi, Editor-in-Chief of Mining.com, who details a regional trend of political realignment from left to right across Latin America—driven by rising crime, economic instability, and public demand for law and order. This shift is creating new investment opportunities, particularly in Argentina, Chile, and Bolivia, where pro-business governments are attracting foreign capital. However, challenges remain: Bolivia struggles with governance and technical hurdles in its lithium sector, Chile faces a decade-long permitting backlog despite new political momentum, and Colombia battles rampant illegal mining that now surpasses narcotics in revenue. The episode underscores that while South America holds vast mineral wealth, the region’s ability to translate that potential into reliable supply depends not on ideology but on consistent policy execution, security, and regulatory clarity. Brazil stands out as a pragmatic outlier, balancing leftist leadership with strategic U.S. partnerships in rare earths and critical minerals. Key takeaways include: 1) The rise of cartels and crime is now a major factor in mining investment decisions across South America; 2) Political shifts toward the right are driven by public demand for security and economic stability, not just ideology; 3) Regulatory delays—especially in Chile—can stall even the most promising projects; 4) Illegal mining in Colombia is now a bigger economic threat than narcotics; 5) Brazil’s pragmatic approach to foreign investment, despite political rhetoric, makes it a key player in critical minerals; 6) The U.S.-China geopolitical rivalry is directly influencing mining deals and investment flows in the region; 7) Countries must deliver on promises of stability and permitting to attract long-term capital; 8) The future of South American mining hinges on execution, not just resource endowment.

Key Takeaways
1

Cartels and crime are now a major risk factor in South American mining, influencing investment decisions.

2

Political shifts from left to right across Latin America are driven by public demand for law and order, not ideology.

3

Regulatory delays—especially Chile’s 10-year permitting process—can derail even the most promising mining projects.

4

Illegal mining in Colombia now generates more revenue than narcotics, creating a self-sustaining cycle of violence and wealth.

5

Brazil’s pragmatic foreign policy allows it to maintain strong ties with both the U.S. and China despite political rhetoric.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
27 min

Global Energy Shifts and the Iran War's Ripple Effects

The episode opens with a broad overview of global energy developments, including China's push for a new energy system under Xi Jinping, the impact of the Iran war on aluminum and sulfur markets, and the resulting supply chain disruptions. Key stories include EGA's aluminum smelter halt in Abu Dhabi, potential 12-month recovery timelines, and Goldman Sachs warning of long-term aluminum supply risks. The U.S. tariff changes and AI infrastructure delays due to electrical equipment shortages are also highlighted.

26:40
23 min

Mining Industry Headlines: Panama, Ivanhoe, Sulfur, and Gold

This segment covers major mining developments: Panama’s move to authorize ore removal from the shuttered Cobre Panama mine, Ivanhoe Mines’ sharp production cut at Kamoa Kakula due to operational challenges, a record sulfur price surge impacting nickel and copper miners, and France’s $15 billion gold profit from repatriating reserves. Barrick’s IPO plans for North American assets and Ghana’s move to restrict mine ownership to local firms are also discussed.

50:00
18 min

Metal Prices and Market Trends

A detailed review of current metal prices shows strong gains in gold, platinum, palladium, and iron ore, while aluminum and copper remain elevated due to supply disruptions. Nickel and lithium show mixed trends, and uranium holds steady. The segment underscores that despite global recession fears, industrial metals are holding firm due to supply constraints and geopolitical tensions.

1:08:20
57 min

South America’s Mining Transformation: Crime, Politics, and Investment

The future of South American mining hinges not on ideology, but on consistent policy execution, security, and regulatory clarity.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
In Colombia, illegal mining now surpasses narcotrafficking by far in terms of revenue.
Cecilia Jemazmi112:21
Viral: 90.0
The future of South American mining hinges not on ideology, but on consistent policy execution, security, and regulatory clarity.
Cecilia Jemazmi119:55
Viral: 85.0
The country's future as a major mining player is really in the balance. It will depend not just on the resources that it has, but whether it can finally align politics, policy and execution.
Cecilia Jemazmi50:19
Viral: 80.0
Speakers

Host

Adrian Pocabelli

Guest

Cecilia Jemazmi
Topics Discussed
Rise of Cartels and Crime in Mining95%Geopolitical Shifts in Latin America90%Illegal Mining and Informal Economies90%U.S.-China Rivalry in Resource Markets88%Mining Investment and Political Stability85%Critical Minerals and Supply Chain Security80%Regulatory and Permitting Delays75%Energy Security and Transition70%
People & Brands

Cecilia Jemazmi

person

35xPositive

United States

place

25xPositive

Adrian Pocabelli

person

20xNeutral

China

place

18xNeutral

Chile

place

15xMixed

Brazil

place

12xPositive

Colombia

place

12xNegative

Iran

place

10xNegative

Bolivia

place

10xNeutral

Xi Jinping

person

8xPositive

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