4/30/26 Daniel Davis on What’s Been Happening in Ukraine

In this episode of The Scott Horton Show, host Scott Horton is joined by former Army lieutenant colonel and YouTube analyst Daniel Davis to discuss the current state of the war in Ukraine and the escalating conflict in Iran. Davis argues that despite temporary Ukrainian counterattacks, the war remains a strategic stalemate heavily favoring Russia due to its superior manpower, sustained industrial capacity, and deliberate attritional strategy. He highlights that Russia has slowed its offensive pace not from weakness, but as a calculated decision to maximize Ukrainian casualties while conserving its own. The Ukrainian military, despite improvements in drone technology and fortifications, lacks the manpower and resources to sustain prolonged operations, leading to a grim reality of 'sacrificing into the maw of death.' Meanwhile, Russia's buildup of weapons stockpiles and political consolidation in occupied territories suggest long-term planning. The discussion then shifts to Iran, where Davis warns that the dueling blockades are causing global economic strain—particularly in agriculture, energy, and electronics—while Iran, having endured decades of sanctions, is better equipped to endure the pressure. He predicts that the U.S. and its allies, lacking resilience, will eventually be forced to concede, especially under a potential Trump administration that may seek a 'victory' through withdrawal rather than escalation.