In Makerfield for the byelection that could change everything

Today in Focus29mJune 15, 2026
AI-Generated Summary

The by-election in Makerfield isn't just a local contest—it's a potential seismic shift in British politics. With Andy Burnham, the mayor of Greater Manchester, stepping into the fray to reclaim his old seat, the race has become a proxy battle for the soul of the Labour Party and the future of the UK’s political landscape. Burnham, a beloved Northern politician with a net positive approval rating, is running not as a Labour candidate but as a symbol of change—someone who’s been in the trenches of local governance and can speak to ordinary people’s struggles. His challenge? Not just Reform, but a rising far-right insurgency: Restore Britain, a new party led by Rupert Lowe, whose radical online campaign has vaulted them into third place despite having no formal infrastructure. In a constituency where 97% of residents are white and immigration is a defining issue, voters are torn between tactical voting, distrust of establishment figures, and a growing appetite for radical change. The stakes are immense: a Burnham win could trigger a leadership challenge that reshapes Labour, while a Reform victory would cement Farage’s dominance and signal the end of Labour’s relevance in the North. What’s unfolding in Makerfield isn’t just about one seat—it’s about whether the UK’s political system can survive the rise of the anti-establishment, the anti-politician, and the anti-elite.

Key Takeaways
1

Andy Burnham is running not as a Labour MP but as a 'vote for change' candidate, leveraging his local roots and governance record to transcend party politics.

2

Restore Britain, a new far-right party, has surged into third place in the polls despite having no formal infrastructure, winning the online race through viral social media campaigns.

3

In Makerfield, 97% of residents are white British, and immigration—especially small boat arrivals—is the dominant issue, even though most UK immigration is legal and work-based.

4

Robert Kenyon, Reform’s candidate, has been widely criticized for past homophobic, transphobic, and sexist remarks, undermining his 'local lad' image and alienating women voters.

5

A Burnham victory would likely trigger a Labour leadership challenge, with Burnham aiming to be installed as leader by September’s Labour Party Conference.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

The By-Election That Could Change Everything

The stakes could barely be higher. If Andy Burnham wins, he will launch a leadership bid to, as he would see it, save the Labour Party.

Highlight
2:12
2 min

On the Ground in Ashton

The team arrives in Ashton, the heart of Makerfield, to interview residents. The atmosphere is saturated with media presence, and locals are exhausted but engaged. A seven-year-old voter reveals her strategic thinking, while others express deep frustration with the political establishment.

4:13
3 min

Tactical Voting and the 'Least Worst' Choice

I think it's just really a two-horse race and I think it comes down to the strategic voting, which I don't like to do. But I think kind of hands are tied.

Highlight
7:00
3 min

Andy Burnham: The Northern Savior?

Burnham’s appeal is rooted in authenticity—he’s from the North, lived in the area, and has a proven track record in Greater Manchester. He’s not tied to the current Labour government, which voters see as out of touch. His campaign is less about Labour and more about 'us vs. them'.

9:40
3 min

The Immigration Firestorm

Politicians and their words have consequences. And we've got to move back from a society where we're stoking up further problems with violence meeting more violence on our streets.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
If Andy Burnham can't beat Nigel Farage in reform, then no one can for Labour. It's pretty much as simple as that.
Josh Holliday28:47
I can't remember a more consequential by -election. If Andy Burnham wins, he will launch a leadership bid to, as he would see it, save the Labour Party.
Helen Pitt1:40
Politicians and their words have consequences. And we've got to move back from a society where we're stoking up further problems with violence meeting more violence on our streets.
Andy Burnham12:38
Speakers

Host

Helen Pidd

Guest

Josh Holliday
Topics Discussed
by-election95%andy burnham90%immigration88%reform party85%restore britain80%tactical voting75%online political campaigns72%northern politics70%
People & Brands

andy burnham

person

18xPositive

makerfield

place

15xNeutral

nigel farage

person

12xNeutral

restore britain

organization

11xNeutral

robert kenyon

person

10xNegative

rupert lowe

person

8xNeutral

greater manchester

place

7xNeutral

the guardian

organization

6xNeutral

josh halliday

person

5xNeutral

helen pidd

person

4xNeutral

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