A Numbers Game | April 14, 2026 | Hour 2

VSiN Best Bets45mApril 14, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this second hour of 'A Numbers Game' on VSiN Best Bets, host Gil Alexander and co-host Kelly Bidlin are joined by guest Drew Dinsick, co-host of the Deep Dive podcast and NBC Sports Bet. The episode dives deep into the NBA play-in tournament, analyzing the Hornets vs. Heat and Suns vs. Blazers matchups with a focus on pace, defensive efficiency, and market mispricing. Drew argues the Hornets-Heat total should be around 222, favoring the under due to the Hornets' inexperience in elimination games and the Heat’s fast pace. He also backs the Suns over the Blazers, citing their strong roster depth and the Blazers’ likely tanking in the fourth quarter. The conversation shifts to the upcoming best-of-seven series, with strong opinions on the Knicks-Hawks and Raptors-Cavs matchups, emphasizing roster mismatches and playoff readiness. Later, Mark Borcher joins to discuss early-season baseball trends, highlighting the Dodgers’ surprising defensive performance and the underperforming Twins and Astros defensively. He places a parlay on the Yankees and Red Sox, citing superior offensive and bullpen metrics. The episode closes with a discussion on the Monty Hall problem and the limitations of plus-minus as a basketball stat, underscoring the importance of context in analytics.

Key Takeaways
1

The Hornets-Heat play-in game total is overpriced; Drew Dinsick projects 222 and favors the under due to slow pace and high-stakes fatigue.

2

The Suns are undervalued against the Blazers; Drew expects a clean win and sees value in the Suns' series price.

3

The Knicks are a strong favorite over the Hawks due to roster superiority and matchup advantages, especially in clutch situations.

4

The Yankees’ offensive and bullpen strength make them a top-tier pick despite market pricing at -160.

5

The Dodgers’ defensive performance (20 defensive runs saved) is a key factor in their early-season success, not just offense.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Opening Banter & Play-In Preview

Gil Alexander and Kelly Bidlin open with lighthearted banter about a photo shoot at the craps table, wrestling nostalgia, and the Masters. They introduce Drew Dinsick, co-host of the Deep Dive podcast, and set the stage for an in-depth look at the NBA play-in tournament.

10:00
10 min

Hornets vs. Heat Play-In Analysis

The Hornets have never been in this position before, so even though I have them rated as a significantly better team than the heat, I'm nervous about them winning this game.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Suns vs. Blazers & Series Market Insights

I think they get a clean win against the Blazers here. And this has the whiff to me of a team, of a game that, you know, the Blazers are well out of it in the fourth quarter.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

NBA Playoff Series Pricing & Matchups

The Knicks are still good. I've said this since the summer when talking about this team. I don't think it's really changed.

Highlight
40:00
10 min

Baseball Early Season Trends & Parlays

The Yankees are the best team Gil, right? Do we have a straight bet in addition to your parlay, sir? Yeah. You always ask me that Gil.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
The Hornets have never been in this position before, so even though I have them rated as a significantly better team than the heat, I'm nervous about them winning this game.
Drew Dinsick6:35
Viral: 85.0
I think they get a clean win against the Blazers here. And this has the whiff to me of a team, of a game that, you know, the Blazers are well out of it in the fourth quarter.
Drew Dinsick9:10
Viral: 80.0
The Knicks are still good. I've said this since the summer when talking about this team. I don't think it's really changed.
Kelly Bidlin43:32
Viral: 75.0
Speakers

Hosts

Gil AlexanderKelly Bidlin

Guests

Drew DinsickMark Borcher
Topics Discussed
NBA Play-In Tournament95%NBA Playoff Series Pricing90%Basketball Analytics & Metrics85%Baseball Early Season Trends80%Sports Betting Strategy75%Plus-Minus Stat Limitations70%Monty Hall Problem65%Team Defense in Baseball60%
People & Brands

Drew Dinsick

person

18xPositive

Gil Alexander

person

15xNeutral

Kelly Bidlin

person

12xNeutral

Miami Heat

other

11xNeutral

Dodgers

other

10xPositive

Hornets

other

10xNeutral

Knicks

other

9xPositive

Mark Borcher

person

8xPositive

Hawks

other

8xNeutral

Plus-Minus Stat

other

8xMixed

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