A Numbers Game | April 17, 2026 | Hour 2
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In this second hour of the VSiN Best Bets podcast, hosts Gil Alexander and Danny Higgins dive deep into NFL draft betting, college baseball futures, and European soccer dynamics, with guest Ben Wilson contributing insights on lacrosse, tennis, and the upcoming Kentucky Derby. The episode opens with a focus on the Ty Simpson quarterback market, where analysts debate whether his high NIL potential makes a late exit from Alabama unlikely, with strong value seen in the Rams drafting him at +239 on Calci. The discussion shifts to the Jets’ No. 2 pick, with speculation around Arvel Reese, David Bailey, and even Sonny Stiles, while Chris Felica provides a compelling case for under 2.5 goals in the Arsenal vs. Man City clash. Horse racing picks are shared for Keeneland and Aqueduct, with Wiedamu and Relax highlighted. The Kentucky Derby conversation centers on concerns about Renegade’s condition, making Commandment a smart 6-1 value play. Ben Wilson then discusses the growth potential of lacrosse and Moto America betting, highlighting the risks of low limits and market inefficiencies in niche sports. The episode closes with NBA playoff previews and a spirited debate on the Warriors’ chances against the Suns.
Ty Simpson to be drafted by the Rams is a strong value play at +239 on Calci, given his NIL incentives and lack of clear NFL-ready signal.
Under 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs. Man City is a high-confidence bet due to Arsenal’s defensive strategy and need for a draw.
Commandment at 6-1 is a strategic backup to Renegade, with strong prep race wins and a favorable running style for the Derby.
Mississippi State, Arkansas, and Oklahoma are top college baseball value plays at 12-1, 40-1, and 45-1 respectively, despite recent slumps.
Moto America betting offers edge opportunities but comes with extreme account risk due to low limits and market inefficiencies.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
NFL Draft Betting: Ty Simpson & the Rams
“There's a lot of NIL money that he could have had. I wouldn't think so. And there are people who will spin it as to I just wanted to go down as the Alabama quarterback.”
Jets’ No. 2 Pick: Reese, Bailey, or Stiles?
“I think the Jets are probably trying to drum up interest in that second pick to see if someone wants to come up and move to two. That way the Jets could acquire some more picks.”
Arsenal vs. Man City: The 2.5 Goal Bet
“If they get a point here, they will be in really good shape to avoid that 3-6-0 kind of denomination.”
Kentucky Derby: Renegade Concerns & Commandment Value
With rumors swirling about Renegade’s condition post-Arkansas Derby, the hosts pivot to Commandment at 6-1 as a smart, fixed-price backup play for the Run for the Roses.
College Baseball Futures: Mississippi State, Arkansas, Oklahoma
Ben Wilson highlights Mississippi State (12-1), Arkansas (40-1), and Oklahoma (45-1) as top value plays in college baseball, citing recent slumps and undervalued talent.
“If for some reason these rumors about Renegade are true, Commandment's price is going to go down in the pari-mutual pool come Derby Day.”
“I think the Jets are probably trying to drum up interest in that second pick to see if someone wants to come up and move to two. That way the Jets could acquire some more picks.”
“I'm an entertainer. I'm all about the narrative as someone who has been painted as the Ega slander of all slanders.”
Hosts
Guests
Ben Wilson
person
VSiN
organization
Chris Felica
person
Kentucky Derby
other
Ty Simpson
person
Man City
other
Arsenal
other
Rams
other
Jets
other
Arvel Reese
person
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VSiN By The Books | March 31, 2026 | Hour 3
VSiN Best Bets • 45m • 3/31/2026
A Numbers Game | March 31, 2026 | Hour 1
VSiN Best Bets • 45m • 3/31/2026
A Numbers Game | March 31, 2026 | Hour 2
VSiN Best Bets • 45m • 3/31/2026
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