Follow The Money | April 29, 2026 | Hour 3
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In this final hour of 'Follow the Money' on VSiN Best Bets, Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the NHL playoffs, emphasizing the critical importance of the first period under and second period over trends, citing data from six of the first-round series. They analyze key matchups including the Flyers-Penguins and Utah-Vegas games, highlighting how momentum shifts, special teams, and early goal scoring can decide series. The hosts express skepticism about the Boston Celtics' playoff performance, proposing a bold trade involving Jason Tatum for the #1 overall pick and A.J. DeBanson, arguing long-term team building outweighs short-term star power. The conversation shifts to the Kentucky Derby, with guest Mike Samich sharing his superfecta strategy, focusing on horses like Chief Wallaby and the Puma while cautioning against Renegade due to the rail draw. Samich also discusses the value of first period unders and defensive matchups across multiple series. The episode closes with a mix of betting insights, including the Yankees' potential for most wins in May and a viral story about a brain tumor discovered after a football field goal miss caused uncontrollable laughter.
First period unders are a high-value trend in the current NHL playoffs, with 20-6 record across six defensive series.
The Boston Celtics may benefit long-term by trading Jason Tatum for the #1 overall pick and A.J. DeBanson.
Renegade is a strong underdog due to the rail draw and poor historical performance from post 1 in the Derby.
Mike Samich's Kentucky Derby superfecta strategy focuses on Chief Wallaby, the Puma, and Commandment with a $36 bet.
The Yankees are a strong play for most wins in May at +1075, with key players returning from injury.
…and 1 more takeaway available in PodZeus
NHL Playoff Trends & First Period Unders
“If you take out two series which are offensive series, if you take out the Minnesota Wilds and the Dallas Stars, and you take out the Edmonton Oilers and the Anaheim Ducks. The other six series so far in the first round are 20 and six to the first period under plus 14 there.”
Boston Celtics Trade Proposal & Playoff Frustration
“I'm dead serious that the Boston Celtics would be better long-term doing that trade than sticking with Jason Tatum. 100% serious.”
Kentucky Derby Preview & Superfecta Strategy
“We're going to play a $36 superfecta... 912 with 6 9 12 20 with 6 9 11 12 20 that cost 36 dollars for one dollar okay”
NBA Trade Ideas & Player Injuries
The hosts explore multiple hypothetical trades involving Kawhi Leonard, including deals to Detroit, Golden State, and Miami. They debate the value of veteran stars versus young talent and discuss how injuries (like Durant’s) can reshape playoff dynamics.
Yankees & MLB Betting Insights
The team highlights the Yankees' +1075 odds for most wins in May, citing returning players and a favorable schedule. They also discuss the Rockies-Reds game, where a missed field goal led to a life-saving brain tumor diagnosis.
“He burst into laughter and was laughing so hard he suffered a seizure. His wife is a nurse and called emergency services. They found a tennis ball-sized brain tumor.”
“I'm dead serious that the Boston Celtics would be better long-term doing that trade than sticking with Jason Tatum. 100% serious.”
“We're going to play a $36 superfecta... 912 with 6 9 12 20 with 6 9 11 12 20 that cost 36 dollars for one dollar okay”
Hosts
Guest
Pauly Howard
person
Boston Celtics
other
Mitch Moss
person
Mike Samich
person
VSiN Best Bets
media
Jason Tatum
person
Renegade
other
A.J. DeBanson
person
Chief Wallaby
other
Kawhi Leonard
person
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