Follow The Money | April 7, 2026 | Hour 3

VSiN Best Bets45mApril 7, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of VSiN Best Bets' 'Follow The Money,' hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the upcoming Masters Tournament with guest Wes Reynolds, a key analyst from V-CIN. Reynolds breaks down the statistical and strategic factors driving the Masters, emphasizing course history, driving distance, and performance around the green—especially critical given Augusta National’s firm, fast conditions. He highlights that recent form matters less than course-specific consistency, citing players like Justin Rose and Patrick Reed as prime examples. Reynolds also shares his betting strategy, favoring premium players like Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele in placement markets, while identifying value in under-the-radar picks like Akshay Bhatia and Min Woo Lee. The episode also features a lively discussion on Circa Las Vegas’s dynamic odds adjustments, where heavy betting on favorites like Scottie Scheffler causes odds to drift upward on others—creating shifting value. The hosts reflect on the recent Michigan basketball national title win, celebrating the emotional payoff for coach Dusty May, and transition into a recap of high-stakes betting action, including massive player props and matchup wagers. The episode closes with a look at the growing momentum around the Masters at Circa, where record handle projections are in play.

Key Takeaways
1

Course history matters more than recent form at the Masters—consistent cut-makers like Justin Rose and Patrick Reed have a proven edge.

2

Driving distance and performance around the green are critical at Augusta due to the course’s length and fast greens.

3

Betting on placement markets (top 10, top 20) often outperforms outright winners, especially with premium players like Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele.

4

Circa Las Vegas dynamically adjusts odds in real time based on betting volume, causing favorites to drift and creating value on under-the-radar players.

5

Players like Akshay Bhatia and Min Woo Lee offer high-value bets due to strong form and under-the-radar status, despite long odds.

…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

The Masters: Course History vs. Recent Form

I think course four matters. There's always outliers. Like you look at somebody like Ludwig Oberg, who has only played here eight rounds, but he's finished second and seventh.

Highlight
10:00
10 min

Key Stats That Drive Masters Success

The last five winners have been first, third, seventh, first, and ninth for strokes gained around the green during their winning week. So that and scrambling. I think are going to matter a big deal this week.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Betting Strategy: Outrights vs. Placement Markets

I'll do the same thing. Those would be up at vcin.com slash picks tomorrow in terms of the placement markets, but I will play a few of these props...

Highlight
30:00
10 min

Circa Las Vegas: The Odds Game in Real Time

We reduce our hold percentage on the Monday. So effectively, unless we saw some big money coming in, almost everybody you had started bumping up.

Highlight
40:00
10 min

Personal Stakes & Emotional Betting

The hosts reflect on the emotional high of Michigan’s national title win, celebrating coach Dusty May’s journey. They also discuss Derek Stevens’ personal life, including his son’s wedding at Circa, blending personal joy with professional betting action.

High-Impact Quotes
The last five winners have been first, third, seventh, first, and ninth for strokes gained around the green during their winning week. So that and scrambling. I think are going to matter a big deal this week.
Wes Reynolds2:44
Viral: 88.0
I think course four matters. There's always outliers. Like you look at somebody like Ludwig Oberg, who has only played here eight rounds, but he's finished second and seventh.
Wes Reynolds3:52
Viral: 85.0
We reduce our hold percentage on the Monday. So effectively, unless we saw some big money coming in, almost everybody you had started bumping up.
Derek Stevens27:45
Viral: 78.0
Speakers

Hosts

Mitch MossPauly Howard

Guest

Wes Reynolds
Topics Discussed
Masters Tournament Betting Strategy95%Course History vs. Recent Form90%Strokes Gained Around the Green88%Dynamic Odds Adjustment85%Placement Markets vs. Outrights82%Betting on Under-the-Radar Players78%Personal Stakes in Betting75%College Basketball National Title70%
People & Brands

Wes Reynolds

person

15xPositive

Mitch Moss

person

12xPositive

Masters Tournament

other

12xPositive

Pauly Howard

person

11xPositive

Derek Stevens

person

10xPositive

Circa Las Vegas

organization

10xPositive

Scottie Scheffler

person

8xNeutral

V-CIN

organization

8xPositive

Jon Rahm

person

7xPositive

Michigan Wolverines

other

6xPositive

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