Follow The Money | April 7, 2026 | Hour 3
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In this episode of VSiN Best Bets' 'Follow The Money,' hosts Mitch Moss and Pauly Howard dive deep into the upcoming Masters Tournament with guest Wes Reynolds, a key analyst from V-CIN. Reynolds breaks down the statistical and strategic factors driving the Masters, emphasizing course history, driving distance, and performance around the green—especially critical given Augusta National’s firm, fast conditions. He highlights that recent form matters less than course-specific consistency, citing players like Justin Rose and Patrick Reed as prime examples. Reynolds also shares his betting strategy, favoring premium players like Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele in placement markets, while identifying value in under-the-radar picks like Akshay Bhatia and Min Woo Lee. The episode also features a lively discussion on Circa Las Vegas’s dynamic odds adjustments, where heavy betting on favorites like Scottie Scheffler causes odds to drift upward on others—creating shifting value. The hosts reflect on the recent Michigan basketball national title win, celebrating the emotional payoff for coach Dusty May, and transition into a recap of high-stakes betting action, including massive player props and matchup wagers. The episode closes with a look at the growing momentum around the Masters at Circa, where record handle projections are in play.
Course history matters more than recent form at the Masters—consistent cut-makers like Justin Rose and Patrick Reed have a proven edge.
Driving distance and performance around the green are critical at Augusta due to the course’s length and fast greens.
Betting on placement markets (top 10, top 20) often outperforms outright winners, especially with premium players like Jon Rahm and Xander Schauffele.
Circa Las Vegas dynamically adjusts odds in real time based on betting volume, causing favorites to drift and creating value on under-the-radar players.
Players like Akshay Bhatia and Min Woo Lee offer high-value bets due to strong form and under-the-radar status, despite long odds.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Masters: Course History vs. Recent Form
“I think course four matters. There's always outliers. Like you look at somebody like Ludwig Oberg, who has only played here eight rounds, but he's finished second and seventh.”
Key Stats That Drive Masters Success
“The last five winners have been first, third, seventh, first, and ninth for strokes gained around the green during their winning week. So that and scrambling. I think are going to matter a big deal this week.”
Betting Strategy: Outrights vs. Placement Markets
“I'll do the same thing. Those would be up at vcin.com slash picks tomorrow in terms of the placement markets, but I will play a few of these props...”
Circa Las Vegas: The Odds Game in Real Time
“We reduce our hold percentage on the Monday. So effectively, unless we saw some big money coming in, almost everybody you had started bumping up.”
Personal Stakes & Emotional Betting
The hosts reflect on the emotional high of Michigan’s national title win, celebrating coach Dusty May’s journey. They also discuss Derek Stevens’ personal life, including his son’s wedding at Circa, blending personal joy with professional betting action.
“The last five winners have been first, third, seventh, first, and ninth for strokes gained around the green during their winning week. So that and scrambling. I think are going to matter a big deal this week.”
“I think course four matters. There's always outliers. Like you look at somebody like Ludwig Oberg, who has only played here eight rounds, but he's finished second and seventh.”
“We reduce our hold percentage on the Monday. So effectively, unless we saw some big money coming in, almost everybody you had started bumping up.”
Hosts
Guest
Wes Reynolds
person
Mitch Moss
person
Masters Tournament
other
Pauly Howard
person
Derek Stevens
person
Circa Las Vegas
organization
Scottie Scheffler
person
V-CIN
organization
Jon Rahm
person
Michigan Wolverines
other
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