Total Bases | MLB Picks Today | Tuesday Odds, Predictions & Best Bets | 3/31

WagerTalk: Sports Betting Tips46mMarch 31, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

In this episode of WagerTalk's Total Bases, hosts Tokyo Brandon (TB), Brian Leonard, and Adam discuss MLB betting picks for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, focusing on key matchups and prop bets. The team breaks down the Yankees vs. Mariners game, with TB favoring the Yankees on the money line due to strong bullpen form and favorable OPS data against Logan Gilbert, despite Gilbert’s strong home record. They express skepticism about the Blue Jays after Cody Ponce’s injury, passing on Toronto despite their strong odds, and lean toward Rockies +1.5 as a value play. The Tigers vs. Diamondbacks game is seen as a tough call, with both teams’ bullpens underperforming, but TB ultimately stays off the game. The Dodgers vs. Guardians matchup sees a focus on prop plays, particularly Shohei Otani’s pitching outs under, while the Phillies vs. Nationals game features a strong recommendation for Philadelphia’s team total over 5.5 at +105. The episode emphasizes avoiding overreaction to early-season results and relying on current matchups and bullpen trends. The hosts also discuss the A’s offensive firepower versus their weak pitching, and the Red Sox’s poor start despite long-term potential. The episode concludes with a recap of the $5 Tuesday parlay: Yankees ML, Tigers ML, and Phillies team total over 5.5.

Key Takeaways
1

Yankees are favored against Mariners with strong bullpen form and favorable OPS data against Logan Gilbert.

2

Avoid Toronto Blue Jays despite strong odds due to Cody Ponce’s injury and lack of depth.

3

Rockies +1.5 is a strong value play with a 4-0 record against the number.

4

Philadelphia team total over 5.5 at +105 is a recommended play against Washington’s weak bullpen.

5

Shohei Otani’s pitching outs under 15.5 is a smart prop bet due to early exit patterns.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
10 min

Opening Segment & $5 Tuesday Kickoff

The hosts welcome listeners to Total Bases, introduce $5 Tuesday promotions, and set the tone for the episode with a focus on early-season MLB betting. They briefly mention Shopify as a sponsor before diving into game analysis.

10:00
10 min

Yankees vs. Mariners: Pitching Matchup & Value Play

I like the Yankees on the money line. I think it's good value. Their bullpen's in good form. They have Aaron Judge. They have Max Reed. It's Yankees or nothing for me.

Highlight
20:00
10 min

Blue Jays Injury & Rockies Value Play

Rocky's plus one and a half. Yeah. It's still undefeated four and O against the number. We'll see how long.

Highlight
30:00
10 min

Tigers vs. Diamondbacks: Bullpen & Hitting Struggles

The team discusses the Tigers-Diamondbacks game, noting the Diamondbacks’ strong offense but terrible bullpen. TB stays off the game, while Brian and Adam debate the value of the Tigers’ money line despite weak hitting.

40:00
10 min

Dodgers vs. Guardians & Prop Plays

The hosts analyze the Dodgers-Guardians game, focusing on Shohei Otani’s pitching props and the Guardians’ fading offense. They recommend betting against Otani’s hitting props and consider the Dodgers’ bullpen edge.

High-Impact Quotes
You're not going to, if you work for three months on doing all your work and you're not going to throw it away off of one series or whatever.
Brian Leonard46:48
Viral: 90.0
I like the Yankees on the money line. I think it's good value. Their bullpen's in good form. They have Aaron Judge. They have Max Reed. It's Yankees or nothing for me.
Tokyo Brandon7:27
Viral: 85.0
I'd like the Philadelphia team total. I'll even go with five and a half here. I'm pretty confident they're going to have a lot of success against this Washington pitching staff.
Tokyo Brandon26:35
Viral: 80.0
Speakers

Hosts

Tokyo BrandonBrian LeonardAdam
Topics Discussed
Phillies Team Total Over90%Yankees vs Mariners90%Early Season Overreaction85%Blue Jays Injury Impact85%Diamondbacks Bullpen Weakness80%Shohei Otani Pitching Props75%A's Offensive Power vs Pitching75%Red Sox Offensive Struggles70%
People & Brands

Tokyo Brandon

person

25xPositive

Brian Leonard

person

22xPositive

Adam

person

18xPositive

Yankees

other

15xPositive

Mariners

other

14xNeutral

Blue Jays

other

12xNegative

Phillies

other

10xPositive

Rockies

other

10xPositive

WagerTalk

organization

10xPositive

Tigers

other

9xNeutral

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