Total Bases | MLB Picks Today | Tuesday Odds, Predictions & Best Bets | 3/31
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In this episode of WagerTalk's Total Bases, hosts Tokyo Brandon (TB), Brian Leonard, and Adam discuss MLB betting picks for Tuesday, March 31, 2026, focusing on key matchups and prop bets. The team breaks down the Yankees vs. Mariners game, with TB favoring the Yankees on the money line due to strong bullpen form and favorable OPS data against Logan Gilbert, despite Gilbert’s strong home record. They express skepticism about the Blue Jays after Cody Ponce’s injury, passing on Toronto despite their strong odds, and lean toward Rockies +1.5 as a value play. The Tigers vs. Diamondbacks game is seen as a tough call, with both teams’ bullpens underperforming, but TB ultimately stays off the game. The Dodgers vs. Guardians matchup sees a focus on prop plays, particularly Shohei Otani’s pitching outs under, while the Phillies vs. Nationals game features a strong recommendation for Philadelphia’s team total over 5.5 at +105. The episode emphasizes avoiding overreaction to early-season results and relying on current matchups and bullpen trends. The hosts also discuss the A’s offensive firepower versus their weak pitching, and the Red Sox’s poor start despite long-term potential. The episode concludes with a recap of the $5 Tuesday parlay: Yankees ML, Tigers ML, and Phillies team total over 5.5.
Yankees are favored against Mariners with strong bullpen form and favorable OPS data against Logan Gilbert.
Avoid Toronto Blue Jays despite strong odds due to Cody Ponce’s injury and lack of depth.
Rockies +1.5 is a strong value play with a 4-0 record against the number.
Philadelphia team total over 5.5 at +105 is a recommended play against Washington’s weak bullpen.
Shohei Otani’s pitching outs under 15.5 is a smart prop bet due to early exit patterns.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening Segment & $5 Tuesday Kickoff
The hosts welcome listeners to Total Bases, introduce $5 Tuesday promotions, and set the tone for the episode with a focus on early-season MLB betting. They briefly mention Shopify as a sponsor before diving into game analysis.
Yankees vs. Mariners: Pitching Matchup & Value Play
“I like the Yankees on the money line. I think it's good value. Their bullpen's in good form. They have Aaron Judge. They have Max Reed. It's Yankees or nothing for me.”
Blue Jays Injury & Rockies Value Play
“Rocky's plus one and a half. Yeah. It's still undefeated four and O against the number. We'll see how long.”
Tigers vs. Diamondbacks: Bullpen & Hitting Struggles
The team discusses the Tigers-Diamondbacks game, noting the Diamondbacks’ strong offense but terrible bullpen. TB stays off the game, while Brian and Adam debate the value of the Tigers’ money line despite weak hitting.
Dodgers vs. Guardians & Prop Plays
The hosts analyze the Dodgers-Guardians game, focusing on Shohei Otani’s pitching props and the Guardians’ fading offense. They recommend betting against Otani’s hitting props and consider the Dodgers’ bullpen edge.
“You're not going to, if you work for three months on doing all your work and you're not going to throw it away off of one series or whatever.”
“I like the Yankees on the money line. I think it's good value. Their bullpen's in good form. They have Aaron Judge. They have Max Reed. It's Yankees or nothing for me.”
“I'd like the Philadelphia team total. I'll even go with five and a half here. I'm pretty confident they're going to have a lot of success against this Washington pitching staff.”
Hosts
Tokyo Brandon
person
Brian Leonard
person
Adam
person
Yankees
other
Mariners
other
Blue Jays
other
Phillies
other
Rockies
other
WagerTalk
organization
Tigers
other
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