U.S. Small- & Mid-Cap Industrial Stocks Are Outperforming and Unappreciated
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In this episode of WealthTrack, host Consuelo Mack interviews Richard Bernstein, a veteran investment strategist and chief investment officer at Richard Bernstein Advisors, about the shifting landscape of global markets. Bernstein argues that the defining trend of our era is deglobalization—evidenced by rising tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain disruptions—which has profound investment implications. He explains that the U.S. industrial base has been underinvested for decades, making modernization and reindustrialization not just necessary but a powerful secular investment theme. Over the past decade, small and mid-cap industrial stocks have outperformed the S&P 500, yet remain overlooked. Bernstein emphasizes that higher inflation—driven by reduced global competition—is a structural shift, not a temporary blip, and that investors should favor pro-inflation assets like industrials, materials, and dividend payers. He also shares his firm’s strategic moves: raising modest cash positions to manage volatility and avoiding corporate bonds due to historically narrow credit spreads that fail to compensate for risk. The episode concludes with a strong recommendation for investors to consider the First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF (AIRR), which tracks Bernstein’s own index and has delivered exceptional long-term returns. The episode underscores a pivotal shift in market psychology: from momentum-driven growth investing to a return to fundamentals, with broadening opportunity sets across small caps, international equities, and value stocks. Bernstein’s core message is clear—boring, overlooked sectors like domestic industrials are now the most compelling long-term plays. Investors are encouraged to focus on compounding dividends, avoid overconcentration in the 'Magnificent Seven,' and embrace the underappreciated potential of U.S. reindustrialization. Despite market turbulence, Bernstein maintains that the underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain strong, making this an ideal time to rebalance toward resilient, fundamentally sound, and historically underfollowed assets.
Small and mid-cap industrial stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 for over a decade but remain underappreciated and overlooked.
Deglobalization—evidenced by tariffs, wars, and supply chain shifts—is a structural trend that benefits domestic industrial reindustrialization.
Inflation is likely to be higher than expected (3-4% long-term), making pro-inflation assets like industrials, materials, and energy stocks more attractive.
Corporate bonds are currently underpriced relative to risk; narrow credit spreads mean investors aren't being compensated for potential defaults.
Investors should consider equal-weighted indices or ETFs like AIRR to diversify beyond the Magnificent Seven and capture broad market opportunities.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
The Megatrend of Deglobalization
“It's not just U.S. involvement, all around the world, these are all symptoms of deglobalization.”
The Case for U.S. Reindustrialization
“Our industrial base in the United States has been woefully depleted. There's no way the United States economy can compete on a global scale with 1960s and 1970s infrastructure.”
Inflation, Risk, and Market Psychology
“The Fed is still talking about a 2% inflation target. I personally think that's very antiquated.”
The Rise of Boring, Overlooked Assets
“Over the last 25 years now, the S&P dividend aristocrat index is neck and neck with NASDAQ.”
Strategic Cash and Corporate Bond Avoidance
Bernstein shares his firm’s strategy of raising modest cash positions to reduce volatility and avoiding corporate bonds due to inadequate risk compensation.
“Our industrial base in the United States has been woefully depleted. There's no way the United States economy can compete on a global scale with 1960s and 1970s infrastructure.”
“If now is not a time to raise cash, when exactly would one raise cash in this kind of environment?”
“Small and mid-cap industrial companies have outperformed the S&P over the last decade, but they are flying well under anybody's radar.”
Host
Guest
Richard Bernstein
person
Consuelo Mack
person
S&P 500
other
First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF
other
U.S. Industrial Base
other
Richard Bernstein Advisors
organization
Magnificent Seven
other
Janice Henderson
organization
S&P Dividend Aristocrats Index
other
Merrill Lynch
organization
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