Capital Solutions: A Flexible Response to Private Equity's Exit Problem

Disruptive Forces in Investing26mJune 9, 2026
AI-Generated Summary

Private equity is facing a $4 trillion liquidity crisis as high valuations from the low-rate era meet stalled exits and AI-driven market uncertainty. Yet, according to David Lyon of Neuberger Berman, this isn't a collapse—it's a structural shift creating a massive opportunity for 'hybrid capital': flexible, non-distressed financing that sits between debt and equity. Unlike traditional private credit or distressed investing, this capital isn't about fixing broken companies. Instead, it's about enabling sponsors to unlock value without selling entire businesses, using creative structures like preferred stock or convertible notes to solve DPI (Distributions to Paid-In Capital) problems. The real risk isn't default—it's mispricing and misperception. As public markets panic over AI disruption, private equity firms are stuck with overvalued portfolios and impatient LPs. Hybrid capital provides a lifeline: it offers liquidity, preserves ownership, and protects against valuation swings by structuring returns around a floor (e.g., 8–9x EBITDA) rather than pure equity risk. The key insight? This isn't a replacement for debt or equity—it’s a tailored solution for a mature, cyclical industry in transition. And the winners won’t be those who bet on chaos, but those who bring scale, speed, and transparency to a market drowning in uncertainty.

Key Takeaways
1

Hybrid capital is not distressed investing—it’s flexible, non-traditional financing designed to solve liquidity problems without fixing broken companies.

2

Private equity’s $4 trillion unrealized value problem is structural, not existential, and hybrid capital provides a scalable solution for DPI without forced sales.

3

Hybrid capital protects against valuation risk by structuring returns around a floor (e.g., 8–9x EBITDA), not pure equity exposure, reducing downside in volatile markets.

4

Unlike continuation vehicles (which take 9 months), hybrid capital deals can close in weeks due to bilateral negotiations and direct company-level investment.

5

The real risk isn't default—it's mispricing: public market panic over AI is distorting private valuations, creating misaligned incentives and false narratives.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:02
1 min

The $4 Trillion Liquidity Crisis in Private Equity

Roughly $4 trillion worth of equity investments are sitting inside private equity funds waiting to be sold, many acquired at high valuations during the low-rate era. But exits haven't materialised and recently we've seen software companies are difficult to value in an AI disruptive world and the pressure on some managers to return capital is mounting.

Highlight
0:53
2 min

Defining Capital Solutions: Not Distressed, Not Debt

We are not distressed. So in plain English, we provide non-traditional capital, which means we're not alone and we're not common equity. So we have great license to be flexible in terms of how we structure these things.

Highlight
2:24
2 min

The Panic Isn't About Defaults—It's About Misunderstanding

You haven't seen wide scale defaults yet. You've actually seen some software deals that have actually failed because frankly, they were just bad deals that had nothing to do with AI.

Highlight
4:39
2 min

The Valuation Disconnect: Why Private Marks Lag Publics

Private equity valuations haven't dropped in sync with public markets due to incentives, volatility aversion, and delayed discovery. This creates a gap that hybrid capital can exploit.

6:48
2 min

The DPI Problem: Why Exits Are Taking Longer

High valuations (16–17x EBITDA) and complex returns require more than just leverage—they demand operational improvements, combinations, and time. DPI is naturally slow.

High-Impact Quotes
And we're really not a replacement for debt. These companies borrow quite efficiently, up to six times EBITDA. We're a replacement for equity that we put in debt clothing.
David Lyon16:27
The reality is if you're junior capital and something really bad happens, it's not good, right? What we really do is we hedge against valuation risk.
David Lyon17:07
And I tell people all the time, I want to be six foot four, but I'm five nine. No matter what I do, I'll be five nine.
David Lyon4:12
Speakers

Host

Anu Rajkumar

Guest

David Lyon
Topics Discussed
hybrid capital95%private equity liquidity90%distributions to paid-in capital88%ai disruption in software85%valuation risk in private markets82%capital solutions80%private credit market stress75%continuation vehicles70%
People & Brands

David Lyon

person

45xNeutral

private equity

other

38xNeutral

AI

other

22xNeutral

software companies

other

20xNeutral

private credit

other

15xNeutral

Neuberger Berman

organization

12xNeutral

leveraged loans

other

10xNeutral

continuation vehicles

other

8xNeutral

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