PPP 763 – Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers To Add And Drop – 4-1-26
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Nick Pollack delivers a high-octane, data-driven breakdown of fantasy baseball starting pitchers for April 1st, 2026, spotlighting breakout performances and red flags with surgical precision. The episode opens with a viral-worthy moment: Bubba Chandler’s dazzling debut—6 strikeouts, 6 walks, 0 hits in 4.1 innings—where Pollack declares him a 'fan 4 plus machine' due to elite fastball metrics like 17 inches of vertical break and 99 mph velocity, despite command issues. Pollack dives deep into pitch mechanics, using proprietary metrics like 'height-adjusted VAA' and 'swing strike rate' to separate signal from noise. He praises Kodai Senga’s 97-98 mph fastball and 19% whiff rate, calls Jansen Junk’s outing 'absurdly impressive' with an A+ stuff grade, and warns against overvaluing pitchers like Brandon Flock and Logan Gilbert despite flashy whiff numbers. The episode culminates in a bold contrarian take: despite a 6-run outing, Pollack advocates for Brandon Williamson as a 'Toby at best' due to elite cutter and changeup command, urging fantasy managers to ignore the line and trust the underlying pitch quality. This isn’t just a roster guide—it’s a masterclass in decoding pitch data to beat the market. Key takeaways include the importance of vertical break and command over raw velocity, the danger of overvaluing whiff counts without context, and the power of 'stuff grades' like PitcherList’s A+ to identify hidden gems.
Bubba Chandler’s 99 mph fastball with 17 inches of vert and 'fan 4 plus' whiff potential makes him a high-upside fantasy asset despite 6 walks
Jansen Junk’s 1.8 height-adjusted VAA and 88 mph slider with negative five sweep earned him an A+ stuff grade—treat as a fantasy steal
Avoid pitchers with high whiff counts but low strikeouts (e.g., Brian Baio’s 18 whiffs, 2 Ks) as they often reflect opponent swing-heavy tendencies, not skill
Brandon Williamson’s 4.2-inning 6-run outing is misleading—his cutter and changeup command against righties suggest a 'Toby at best' ceiling, not a bust
Kodai Senga’s 97-98 mph fastball with 19% swing strike rate is a rare elite offering—treat as a top-tier fantasy arm
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
April Fool's Edition & Free PL Plus Offer
Nick Pollack kicks off the episode with a lighthearted nod to Justin Paradis' April Fool's SP Roundup, then promotes a free month of PL Plus for listeners who leave a review on Apple Podcasts and send proof via email or Twitter.
Bubba Chandler's Debut: A 'Fan 4 Plus Machine'
“Bubba Chandler is above average if not elite at all of them. That's cool. It's going to be very much of a foundation pitch.”
Jansen Junk’s Elite Stuff & Hidden Gem Status
“This is unreal. And like the Marlins aren't going to like completely limit him. Sure, he's only at 79 pitches in this one because it's still early in the season. But what?”
Kodai Senga’s Velocity Surge & 19% Whiff Rate
“97-98 for Kodai Senga. Yeah, that is so much better. I remember seeing him at like 94-95 at times. He also earned whiffs on it. 19% swing strike rate is crazy.”
Pitch Quality Over Strikeout Totals: The Whiff Trap
Pollack warns against overvaluing pitchers like Brian Baio (18 whiffs, 2 Ks) and Logan Gilbert, arguing that high whiff counts without strikeouts often reflect opponent swing-heavy tendencies, not elite stuff.
“stuff grade. Unreal. And like the Marlins aren't going to like completely limit him. Sure, he's only at 79 pitches in this one because it's still early in the season. But what?”
“Bubba Chandler is above average if not elite at all of them. That's cool. It's going to be very much of a foundation pitch.”
“which is the best baseball community on the internet. I guarantee you, you will not find a better one.”
Host
Nick Pollack
person
PitcherList
organization
Bubba Chandler
person
Jansen Junk
person
Kodai Senga
person
Jose Soriano
person
Brandon Flock
person
Brandon Williamson
person
YouTube channel
media
Justin Paradis
person
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