PPP 792 – Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers To Add And Drop – 5-18-26
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Nick Pollock delivers a sharp, data-driven breakdown of fantasy baseball starting pitchers to add and drop as of May 18, 2026, cutting through hype with surgical precision. The episode centers on a bold contrarian take: Roki Sasaki’s dominant debut, while impressive, is not a sustainable breakout—Pollock calls it a 'birthday party' that may not last, citing his average slider and lack of elite velocity. He’s equally skeptical of 'lucky' performances, like George Kirby’s, arguing that Kirby’s mechanical flaws—pitch convergence instead of divergence—explain his underperformance despite strong stuff. Pollock champions pitchers with command and efficiency, like Grant Holmes and Kevin Galsman, while warning against overvaluing high-velocity prospects like Robert Gasser and Lucas Giolito, whose 90.4 mph fastballs signal ongoing recovery. The real value lies in overlooked arms: Ryan Nelson (32% rostered), Reid Demers, and Foster Griffin, who Pollock defends despite recent struggles, calling them 'high-upside streamers' in favorable matchups. He also drops key names like Yuri Perez and Brady Singer due to unsustainable risk profiles, even when they post decent numbers. The episode’s core thesis? Don’t chase wins or strikeouts—chase process, command, and sustainable mechanics. Pollock’s most provocative insight: 'Founders die from overdose of opportunity, not starvation'—a metaphor for fantasy managers who overcommit to hot starts without analyzing underlying mechanics. His advice?
Roki Sasaki’s 7-inning, 1-run debut is impressive but not sustainable—his 86 mph gyro slider and average velocity make long-term success unlikely.
George Kirby’s poor performance stems from mechanical flaws: pitches converge in one spot instead of diverging, reducing effectiveness.
Avoid pitchers with high walk rates and poor command—like Yuri Perez and Brady Singer—even if they post low ERAs.
Target under-rostered arms like Ryan Nelson (32% rostered) and Foster Griffin for streaming, especially in favorable matchups.
Prioritize command over velocity: pitchers with 70%+ strike rates (e.g., Gavin Williams) are more reliable than high-velocity but inconsistent arms.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Roki Sasaki’s Debut: Hype vs. Reality
“I want to genuinely hope that this is it, that this is Sasaki taking that 14% swing strike rate that we've seen from him this season and actually turning it into production. But I don't want to go for it. I just don't buy into this at all.”
Zach Wheeler & Nathan Eovaldi: The Return of the Studs
Pollock celebrates the return of elite form from Zach Wheeler and Nathan Eovaldi, citing high velocity and dominant command as signs of a true breakout.
The Case Against Overvalued Prospects
“He was at 91 and change versus like 93. And maybe that's because what we saw last year was the adrenaline and this is more normalized.”
George Kirby’s Mechanical Flaw: The Convergence Problem
“You want them to start in the same spot and then diverge, not start in different spots and then converge, right? That is my biggest answer for why George Kirby is not succeeding at a high, high level that he should.”
Streamers to Target: Nelson, Griffin, and Demers
Pollock identifies under-rostered pitchers like Ryan Nelson (32% rostered), Reid Demers, and Foster Griffin as high-upside streaming options in favorable matchups.
“You want them to start in the same spot and then diverge, not start in different spots and then converge, right? That is my biggest answer for why George Kirby is not succeeding at a high, high level that he should.”
“I want to genuinely hope that this is it, that this is Sasaki taking that 14% swing strike rate that we've seen from him this season and actually turning it into production. But I don't want to go for it. I just don't buy into this at all.”
“The value proposition, I should say instead. Brady Singer shouldn't be rostered at the moment and four innings, five run runs. So we don't do that.”
Host
Nick Pollock
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Roki Sasaki
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Steven Kolek
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Andre Palante
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Zach Wheeler
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Gavin Williams
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Robert Gasser
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Nathan Eovaldi
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Jeffrey Springs
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Grant Holmes
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