PPP 794 – Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers To Add And Drop – 5-20-26
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Bryce Miller is emerging as a dominant force in fantasy baseball, with a transformed four-seamer that now features 20 inches of vertical break and 97 mph velocity—making him a must-add in most leagues. Despite concerns about command, his recent performance shows marked improvement, especially against left-handed hitters. Meanwhile, Griffin Jacks is a surprise breakout, not because of his results, but due to his elite process: he dominated with a 50% strike rate on his changeup and barely threw his signature fastball and cutter, proving that fantasy success often comes from trusting the underlying mechanics over raw stats. On the flip side, pitchers like Kumar Rocker and Zebby Matthews are red flags—Rocker’s 82 mph slider is unplayable, while Matthews’ secondaries lack the elite velocity and movement of last year, making them risky plays despite strong surface-level results. The episode also highlights strategic roster moves: dropping Rainey Suarez and Jacob Lopez for better options like Jax and Parker Messick, and cautioning against overvaluing pitchers with unsustainable swing-strike rates like Ben Brown and Nolan McClain. Ultimately, the key takeaway is that process-driven evaluation—focusing on pitch quality, command, and pitch mix over wins and ERA—is what separates elite fantasy managers from the rest.
Bryce Miller’s 97 mph four-seamer with 20 inches of vertical break makes him a top-tier fantasy start despite past command concerns.
Griffin Jacks’ 50% strike rate on his changeup and minimal use of his fastball/cutter show that process trumps results in fantasy baseball.
Kumar Rocker’s 82 mph slider is unplayable—do not roster him despite his recent slider-heavy approach.
Zebby Matthews’ secondaries lack last year’s elite velocity and movement, making him a potential trap despite a strong outing.
Ben Brown’s 32% swing-strike rate on his curveball is unsustainable—do not bank on it for the rest of the season.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Bryce Miller’s Breakout Performance and Pitch Evolution
“His four-seamer has 20 inches of vert, 97 miles per hour instead of like 95 and something around like 18 inches of vert. I mean, it's really crazy how good this pitch is.”
Griffin Jacks: The Process Over Results Story
“He went 15 over 16 strikes with his changeup. Griffin Jacks! Oh my gosh. I mean, seriously, that is bonkers.”
Red Flags: Kumar Rocker and Zebby Matthews
“We don't want to touch Kumar Rocker. If you're thinking about doing that, please do not do that.”
Sustainable vs. Unsustainable Pitching Metrics
Nick critiques pitchers like Ben Brown and Nolan McClain for relying on unsustainable swing-strike rates and fluky events (e.g., inside-the-park HR), advising against long-term roster commitments.
Strategic Roster Moves: Drop, Add, Hold
Nick recommends dropping Rainey Suarez and Jacob Lopez in favor of Jax and Parker Messick, emphasizing command and pitch mix over raw stats.
“He went 15 over 16 strikes with his changeup. Griffin Jacks! Oh my gosh. I mean, seriously, that is bonkers.”
“We don't want to touch Kumar Rocker. If you're thinking about doing that, please do not do that.”
“four -seamer has 20 inches of vert, 97 miles per hour instead of like 95 and something around like 18 inches of vert. I mean, it's really crazy how good this pitch is.”
Host
Nick Pollock
person
Bryce Miller
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Griffin Jacks
person
Kumar Rocker
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Zebby Matthews
person
Landon Rupp
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Parker Messick
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Dustin May
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Kei Cavalli
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Reed Detmers
person
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