The Shallows EP 015 - Marco! Polo!
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In this episode of The Shallows, hosts Eric Hendrickson and Carson Picard dive into the chaos of shallow fantasy baseball leagues, spotlighting a wave of injuries that have left catchers and pitchers in disarray. With Blake Snell and Chris Bubich sidelined by elbow issues, and a cascade of oblique and hamstring strains among key players like Cal Raleigh and Ryan Jeffers, the episode underscores how fragile rosters can be. The hosts then tackle a deep dive into pitcher performance, separating signal from noise: Yuri Perez and Jack Leiter are seen as promising but inconsistent, while Trevor Rogers and Bryce Elder are deemed unsustainable due to regression risks. Logan Gilbert, despite poor batted ball data, is defended as a true ace whose struggles are likely temporary. The episode's highlight is the debut of 'Marco Polo,' a fun guessing game where Carson must identify players based on stats alone—successfully guessing JJ Bleday over Tyler Soderstrom and Chris Sale over Davis Martin. The segment reveals how early-season hot streaks can be misleading, and the hosts emphasize the importance of trusting metrics over surface-level stats. The episode delivers actionable advice: stash pitchers like Yuri Perez and Jack Leiter for potential breakout moments, avoid holding onto pitchers like Bryce Elder who have a history of collapse, and trust in elite arms like Logan Gilbert despite short-term struggles.
Bryce Elder is a ticking bomb—get him off your roster quickly as he's due for a major regression.
Logan Gilbert's poor batted ball data is likely a temporary fluke; trust his elite peripherals and hold him as an ace.
Yuri Perez and Jack Leiter are worth stashing—both show strong underlying metrics despite poor results.
Trevor Rogers' 2-run ERA gap from his FIP suggests he's due for regression; consider dropping him.
In shallow leagues, prioritize pitchers with high swing-and-miss rates and strong command over raw ERA.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Welcome Aboard The Shallows
The hosts kick off the episode with a warm welcome, setting the tone for a deep dive into shallow fantasy baseball. They discuss the scorching weather and tease the debut of a new segment, 'Marco Polo,' while reminding listeners to check standings after Memorial Day.
Captain's Report: Injury Chaos
The hosts break down a wave of injuries, including Blake Snell and Chris Bubich's elbow issues, Cal Raleigh's oblique strain, and multiple catcher injuries. They highlight the impact on shallow leagues and discuss the potential for recovery and return timelines.
What to Do with These Pitchers
“Bryce Elder is not going to be productive much longer if at all anymore. You should come prepared. Bryce Elder is not going to be productive much longer if at all anymore.”
Debut of Marco Polo: The Guessing Game
“I would prefer A over B. I still do. Absolutely. I think. I am going to say player... Is player A JJ Blue Day? Yes. You nailed it.”
Final Player Matchups and Takeaways
The hosts continue the 'Marco Polo' game with two more player comparisons, including Xavier Edwards vs. Zach Netto. Carson struggles but ultimately learns that Netto’s consistency outweighs Edwards’ unsustainable power surge.
“Bryce Elder is not going to be productive much longer if at all anymore. um i do not”
“over player B? I still do. I still do. Absolutely. I think. I am going to say player... Is player A JJ Blue Day? Yes. You nailed it.”
“now, his barrel rates and hard hit rates are through the roof, everything else as far as what you'd expect with Logan Gilbert, their ridiculous extension, the swing and miss it's actually, he's been phenomenal at getting avoiding walks this year.”
Hosts
Bryce Elder
person
Reed Detmers
person
Trevor Rogers
person
Yuri Perez
person
Cal Raleigh
person
Griffin Jacks
person
Jack Leiter
person
Blake Snell
person
Zebby Matthews
person
Logan Gilbert
person
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