The Big 3: META, CAT, DDOG
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The Schwab Network's 'Big Three' segment highlights three stocks defying a down day in the broader market: Meta, Caterpillar, and Datadog. Joe Tige of the Rational Equity Armor Fund argues that Meta’s range-bound trading near $600 presents a high-reward opportunity if momentum builds, despite resistance at $622 and bearish RSI divergence. Caterpillar, up 50% year-to-date, is flagged not for fundamentals but for structural market anomalies—its AI-related price surge mirrors semiconductor stocks, signaling potential overvaluation and rising correlation risk. Meanwhile, Datadog is positioned as a critical enabler of the AI infrastructure boom, with technicals suggesting a potential move toward $400 based on a symmetrical pattern and strong momentum. The episode underscores a shift from hyperscalers to data infrastructure plays, warning that market euphoria may be distorting valuations across sectors. The core insight? The AI narrative isn't just about chips and data centers—it's about the companies that make the data usable, secure, and scalable. Datadog exemplifies this, while Meta and Caterpillar represent both opportunity and caution: one poised for a rebound, the other a warning sign of market overreach. The real story isn't just which stocks are rising, but how the market is pricing risk across sectors that should be unrelated.
Meta is trading near a $600 support level with a potential gap-fill move to $700 if momentum breaks above $622 resistance.
Caterpillar’s 50% YTD gain is outpacing fundamentals, signaling market overvaluation due to AI-related speculation and rising correlation risk.
Datadog’s symmetrical base pattern suggests a potential $400 target, with a 6–7 month timeframe, if it maintains momentum above $177 support.
The AI infrastructure boom is shifting focus from hardware to data management tools like Datadog, which enable AI scalability.
A lack of VIX spike despite market volatility suggests suppressed fear, potentially masking systemic risk in speculative trades.
…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Market Setup and Yield Pressures
Joe Tige discusses rising bond yields, their impact on high-growth stocks, and the risk of economic slowdown, noting a shift from AI momentum to risk aversion. The VIX remains low despite volatility, signaling potential market complacency.
Meta: Range-Bound Opportunity
“If it does, I'll tell you what, there is that big gap vacuum, if you will, from a volume standpoint and a trading standpoint, between that 622 resistance and up around that 675 mark where it gapped down on the earnings announcement, that it could move very quickly to Joe's point.”
Caterpillar: AI-Driven Overvaluation Risk
“It's just kind of a sign to me that maybe things are getting a little bit more, a little too risky here when you're pricing Caterpillar is moving like NVIDIA.”
Datadog: The AI Data Enabler
“If you take it to the logical extreme, you take it out to that 200 resistance which started to act again as a resistance level on that gap to the upside. Now you take that as a larger hole and a larger rounded bottom that puts the symmetrical or measurement target out to around the $400 mark.”
Market Structure and Technical Outlook
The episode concludes with a technical breakdown of all three stocks, emphasizing momentum, support/resistance levels, and the danger of speculative bubbles. Ben and Joe stress the importance of technical patterns and market psychology.
“all together. And that's a sign to me that maybe things are getting a little bit more, a little too risky here when you're pricing. Caterpillar is moving like NVIDIA.”
“If you take it to the logical extreme, you take it out to that 200 resistance which started to act again as a resistance level on that gap to the upside. Now you take that as a larger hole and a larger rounded bottom that puts the symmetrical or measurement target out to around the $400 mark.”
“If it does, I'll tell you what, there is that big gap vacuum, if you will, from a volume standpoint and a trading standpoint, between that 622 resistance and up around that 675 mark where it gapped down on the earnings announcement, that it could move very quickly to Joe's point.”
Host
Guests
Meta
organization
Datadog
organization
Caterpillar
organization
Ben Watson
person
Joe Tige
person
VIX
other
NVIDIA
organization
Rational Equity Armor Fund
organization
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