The Big 3: NFLX, LULU & INTC

Schwab Network13mMay 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

Intel’s explosive 200% year-to-date rally is now showing signs of exhaustion, with Don Kaufman warning that the stock is in the midst of a 'gamma squeeze' fueled by retail and institutional call buying. He argues this unsustainable momentum will likely reverse, citing extreme implied volatility over 100% and an inverted volatility skew—where calls are priced higher than puts—as definitive signs of a fade. Rather than chasing the rally, Kaufman is positioning a bearish put spread on Intel, betting on a pullback to the 100 level. Meanwhile, Netflix faces headwinds from seasonality, rising fuel costs, and subscription fatigue, prompting a bearish put spread targeting a retest of the 75 support. In contrast, Lululemon, trading near all-time lows and massively oversold, is the only bullish pick—a short-term, high-conviction bounce trade using a cheap call spread ahead of earnings. The episode reveals a rare convergence: three high-conviction trades, all short-term, all based on technical extremes and market psychology, not long-term fundamentals.

Key Takeaways
1

Intel’s 100%+ implied volatility and inverted skew signal a gamma squeeze nearing exhaustion—expect a fade in the next few weeks.

2

Use a $10-wide put spread (100/90) on Intel for defined risk and $7 upside, betting on a pullback from 111 to 100.

3

Netflix is vulnerable to a retest of 75 due to seasonality, high fuel prices, and weak content momentum—use a 85/75 put spread.

4

Lululemon’s massive oversold condition offers a high-probability short-term bounce—buy 140 calls, sell 145 calls for $1.20 debit.

5

RSI divergence in Intel (higher highs in price, lower highs in RSI) is a bearish warning sign ahead of a potential breakdown.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
0:00
2 min

The Big Three: Netflix, Lululemon, Intel

Rick Ducat introduces the episode with Don Kaufman, co-founder of TheoTrade, to discuss three high-conviction short-term trades: a bearish Netflix play, a bullish Lululemon bounce, and a fade on Intel’s gamma-driven rally.

2:00
3 min

Bearish Netflix: Revisiting 75 Support

I'm going to go out to the july 17th expiration and I'm taking a little bit of time with this especially in options to go out to july 17th expiration is you know not necessarily the norm i'm doing that because again i want the trade to kind of evolve

Highlight
5:00
4 min

Bullish Lululemon: A Short-Term Bounce

Lululemon, I'm actually going to put on a bullish trade, but it's a trade. This is not an investment. This is not necessarily long-term, you know, looking for upside in Lulu. This is in the here, in the now.

Highlight
9:00
4 min

Bearish Intel: Fade the Gamma Squeeze

I do believe we're going to see in the next few weeks Intel fade. Nothing too crazy. But I'm going to stand in the way of an absolute freight train.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
I do believe we're going to see in the next few weeks Intel fade. Nothing too crazy. But I'm going to stand in the way of an absolute freight train.
Don Kaufman9:35
Viral: 88.0
You realize in the near term, implied volatility is an excess of 100%. I mean, not too often you're going to see stocks that have 100% implied volatility that are mainstream like this.
Don Kaufman8:52
Viral: 82.0
-day EMA in dark blue, 102 .50 lining up with our trend line. So it could be worth watching for a potential breakdown area kind of lining up with the strike for that trade pretty closely as well.
Rick Ducat11:21
Viral: 65.0
Speakers

Host

Rick Ducat

Guest

Don Kaufman
Topics Discussed
gamma squeeze95%bearish put spread90%oversold bounce88%implied volatility85%options trading80%technical analysis75%short-term trading72%seasonality70%
People & Brands

Netflix

organization

15xNegative

Intel

organization

14xNegative

Don Kaufman

person

12xPositive

Lululemon

organization

10xPositive

Rick Ducat

person

8xNeutral

TheoTrade

organization

2xNeutral

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