How can Canada unclog its housing market?

The Big Story19mMay 6, 2026

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AI-Generated Summary

The Big Story explores Canada's deepening housing crisis, focusing not just on first-time buyers but on the overlooked group of second-time homebuyers trapped in starter condos. Host Karen Sciolan speaks with Mike Moffitt of the Missing Middle Initiative, who explains how flat prices, rising construction costs, and a glut of unsold condos have created a market stalemate. Many aspiring homeowners can't upgrade due to stagnant equity and high interest rates, while seniors are reluctant to downsize because of transaction costs, taxes, and the loss of tax advantages on primary residences. The episode highlights how the recent federal-provincial agreement to eliminate HST on new homes under $1 million could act as a catalyst, creating FOMO and boosting demand. However, Moffitt emphasizes that no single policy can solve the crisis—instead, a coordinated effort across all levels of government is needed to reform land use, streamline approvals, reduce development charges, and modernize building codes. The conversation underscores the cyclical nature of housing markets and the long-term consequences of price bubbles, warning that recovery will be uneven and that vulnerable populations will require targeted social housing support.

Key Takeaways
1

Second-time homebuyers are trapped in starter condos due to lost equity and high interest rates, creating a 'sandstill' in the housing market.

2

Seniors are hesitant to downsize because of transaction costs, taxes, and the loss of tax advantages on primary residences.

3

The HST elimination on new homes under $1M could drive demand by reducing costs and creating FOMO, especially in high-tax provinces.

4

No single policy will fix Canada's housing crisis—success requires coordinated reforms at federal, provincial, and municipal levels.

5

Social housing and government programs like Build Canada Homes are essential to serve low-income and vulnerable populations the market ignores.

Chapters
0:00
2 min

The Housing Market Stalemate

The market feels like a bit of a sandstill. If you're a buyer right now, things look better than they were a year or two ago. But overall, we're not seeing a great deal of activity.

Highlight
2:00
3 min

The Second-Time Buyer Trap

We talk a lot about this at The Missing Middle, this issue of second-time homebuyers. Because it doesn't get talked about very enough. But there are hundreds of thousands of couples across the country... who are essentially just trapped in place.

Highlight
5:00
4 min

The Downsizing Dilemma

Seniors are increasingly reluctant to downsize due to high transaction costs, capital gains taxes on new assets, and the tax-advantaged status of their primary homes.

9:00
5 min

Housing Cycles and Lessons Forgotten

Moffitt draws parallels to past housing crashes, noting that every generation learns the hard way that real estate is cyclical and there’s no guaranteed profit.

14:00
5 min

The HST Breakthrough and Its Impact

At the stroke of a pen, you can instantly lower the cost of new homes overnight.

Highlight
High-Impact Quotes
At the stroke of a pen, you can instantly lower the cost of new homes overnight.
Mike Moffitt14:18
Viral: 90.0
You ask me about any policy and go, okay, will this fix the crisis? And my answer is going to be no. But if you start to piece together all of these issues... then I think we could start to hit the housing targets.
Mike Moffitt16:10
Viral: 88.0
We talk a lot about this at The Missing Middle, this issue of second-time homebuyers. Because it doesn't get talked about very enough. But there are hundreds of thousands of couples across the country... who are essentially just trapped in place.
Mike Moffitt5:20
Viral: 85.0
Speakers

Host

Karen Sciolan

Guest

Mike Moffitt
Topics Discussed
Second-Time Homebuyers95%HST Elimination on New Homes92%Seniors Downsizing88%Transaction Costs and Taxes87%Housing Market Cycles85%Construction Costs and Development Charges83%Land Use and Zoning Reform80%Social Housing and Government Support78%
People & Brands

Mike Moffitt

person

15xPositive

HST

other

10xNeutral

Ontario

other

8xNeutral

Federal Government

organization

7xPositive

Missing Middle Initiative

organization

6xPositive

Toronto

place

5xNeutral

Vancouver

place

3xNeutral

Build Canada Homes

other

2xPositive

University of Ottawa

organization

2xNeutral

British Columbia

other

2xNeutral

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