How can Canada unclog its housing market?
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The Big Story explores Canada's deepening housing crisis, focusing not just on first-time buyers but on the overlooked group of second-time homebuyers trapped in starter condos. Host Karen Sciolan speaks with Mike Moffitt of the Missing Middle Initiative, who explains how flat prices, rising construction costs, and a glut of unsold condos have created a market stalemate. Many aspiring homeowners can't upgrade due to stagnant equity and high interest rates, while seniors are reluctant to downsize because of transaction costs, taxes, and the loss of tax advantages on primary residences. The episode highlights how the recent federal-provincial agreement to eliminate HST on new homes under $1 million could act as a catalyst, creating FOMO and boosting demand. However, Moffitt emphasizes that no single policy can solve the crisis—instead, a coordinated effort across all levels of government is needed to reform land use, streamline approvals, reduce development charges, and modernize building codes. The conversation underscores the cyclical nature of housing markets and the long-term consequences of price bubbles, warning that recovery will be uneven and that vulnerable populations will require targeted social housing support.
Second-time homebuyers are trapped in starter condos due to lost equity and high interest rates, creating a 'sandstill' in the housing market.
Seniors are hesitant to downsize because of transaction costs, taxes, and the loss of tax advantages on primary residences.
The HST elimination on new homes under $1M could drive demand by reducing costs and creating FOMO, especially in high-tax provinces.
No single policy will fix Canada's housing crisis—success requires coordinated reforms at federal, provincial, and municipal levels.
Social housing and government programs like Build Canada Homes are essential to serve low-income and vulnerable populations the market ignores.
The Housing Market Stalemate
“The market feels like a bit of a sandstill. If you're a buyer right now, things look better than they were a year or two ago. But overall, we're not seeing a great deal of activity.”
The Second-Time Buyer Trap
“We talk a lot about this at The Missing Middle, this issue of second-time homebuyers. Because it doesn't get talked about very enough. But there are hundreds of thousands of couples across the country... who are essentially just trapped in place.”
The Downsizing Dilemma
Seniors are increasingly reluctant to downsize due to high transaction costs, capital gains taxes on new assets, and the tax-advantaged status of their primary homes.
Housing Cycles and Lessons Forgotten
Moffitt draws parallels to past housing crashes, noting that every generation learns the hard way that real estate is cyclical and there’s no guaranteed profit.
The HST Breakthrough and Its Impact
“At the stroke of a pen, you can instantly lower the cost of new homes overnight.”
“At the stroke of a pen, you can instantly lower the cost of new homes overnight.”
“You ask me about any policy and go, okay, will this fix the crisis? And my answer is going to be no. But if you start to piece together all of these issues... then I think we could start to hit the housing targets.”
“We talk a lot about this at The Missing Middle, this issue of second-time homebuyers. Because it doesn't get talked about very enough. But there are hundreds of thousands of couples across the country... who are essentially just trapped in place.”
Host
Guest
Mike Moffitt
person
HST
other
Ontario
other
Federal Government
organization
Missing Middle Initiative
organization
Toronto
place
Vancouver
place
Build Canada Homes
other
University of Ottawa
organization
British Columbia
other
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