Total Bases | MLB Picks Today | Monday Betting Preview, Odds & Best Bets | 4/6
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In this episode of WagerTalk's Total Bases, the hosts—Adam, Brian Leonard, and Tokyo Brandon—break down MLB betting lines for Monday, April 6, 2026, focusing on key matchups including the Dodgers vs. Blue Jays, Reds vs. Marlins, Rockies vs. Astros, Rays vs. Cubs, and Padres vs. Pirates. The team emphasizes value in underdog teams and overs, citing injuries, bullpen fatigue, and mispriced lines. The Dodgers are favored against a struggling Blue Jays team, while the Marlins are seen as a strong play despite a potential 'comeback flat spot' after a road win. The Rockies are highlighted for their +1.5 run line value, with the Astros over five and a half runs seen as a strong over bet. The Pirates are praised for their young talent and strong start, making them a compelling home favorite against the struggling Padres. The hosts also promote a double-play package offering two handicappers for the price of one, and preview the upcoming NCAA Final Four game between UConn and Michigan.
The Dodgers are a solid favorite against a slumping Blue Jays team with key injuries and poor recent form.
The Marlins are a strong play on the money line despite a potential 'comeback flat spot' after a road win.
The Rockies offer strong value on the +1.5 run line due to mispricing and a 20-game improvement projection.
The Astros over five and a half runs is a compelling over bet given their offensive dominance and bullpen fatigue.
The Pirates are a strong home favorite with young talent and a deep bullpen, despite a low line.
…and 2 more takeaways available in PodZeus
Opening Show & Dodgers vs. Blue Jays Preview
“I don't think the Dodgers is some great value. I think it's right where it's supposed to be. Minus 140 seems like, you know, what it is is kind of where I'm at with the number.”
Reds vs. Marlins: The Comeback Flat Spot Debate
“I think I'm going to be on the Marlins, but certainly the way I would look at this game.”
Rockies vs. Astros: Value in the +1.5 Run Line
“It's almost been the perfect storm... you're still getting that big-time value on the plus one and a half.”
Rays vs. Cubs: Over Bet with Poor Pitching
The hosts examine the Rays vs. Cubs game, noting both teams’ poor bullpen performances and subpar starting pitching. They argue the low total of 7.5 is too low given the offensive potential, especially in a dome environment, and favor the over.
Padres vs. Pirates: Pirates as Undervalued Home Favorites
“The Pirates are hitting really well and the Padres are not. The Padres have the bigger names in their lineup but they're not hitting.”
“It's almost been the perfect storm... you're still getting that big-time value on the plus one and a half.”
“The Pirates are hitting really well and the Padres are not. The Padres have the bigger names in their lineup but they're not hitting.”
“I've got him ranked 30. He's the worst ranked pitcher ever that I've ever ranked.”
Host
Guests
Adam
person
Tokyo Brandon
person
Brian Leonard
person
Blue Jays
other
WagerTalk
organization
Marlins
other
Pirates
other
Dodgers
other
Astros
other
Rockies
other
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