Total Bases | MLB Picks Today | Tuesday Odds, Predictions & Best Bets | 4/7

On this episode of Total Bases, the WagerTalk team breaks down MLB picks for Tuesday, April 7, 2026, with a focus on key matchups and betting strategies. The hosts discuss the Dodgers vs. Blue Jays game, where they lean toward the under due to Toronto’s bullpen fatigue and inconsistent offense, despite the Dodgers’ recent offensive surge. They highlight Pittsburgh Pirates as a strong contender, with Paul Skenes emerging as a top-tier pitcher and the team’s lineup showing improved depth after offseason moves. The hosts express strong confidence in the Pirates making the playoffs, calling them a legitimate 81-win team. Other key games analyzed include Red Sox vs. Brewers, where both sides are underperforming but the under is favored due to elite pitching matchups, and the Diamondbacks vs. Mets, where the hosts debate the impact of New York’s home environment on a struggling team. The episode concludes with the hosts finalizing a three-leg parlay: Marlins (-135), Pirates (-155), and Yankees (-220), all on $5 Tuesday at WagerTalk.com. The episode emphasizes disciplined betting, caution against overvaluing team names, and the importance of factoring in matchup-specific data like park factors, bullpen usage, and pitcher performance against specific batters. The hosts stress that long-term success in sports betting requires respecting odds and not backing teams simply because they’re perceived as strong. Despite some skepticism about the Pirates’ odds, the consensus is that their combination of elite pitching, improved offense, and favorable matchups makes them a compelling play. The show ends with a reminder of the $5 Tuesday promotion, double-play packages, and the importance of accessing all plays through WagerTalk’s platform.