Michael Weiss: The Vice President Is Looking Pretty Stupid

The Bulwark10mJune 16, 2026
AI-Generated Summary

The guest, Michael Weiss, delivers a blistering critique of the emerging U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), arguing it represents a catastrophic capitulation that undermines decades of American foreign policy. He contends the deal effectively legitimizes Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz, certifies Iran's continued dominance over Hezbollah in Lebanon, and opens the door for massive Iranian economic windfalls—all while being sold by J.D. Vance as a 'cool' new era of diplomacy. Weiss exposes the absurdity of Vance's claim that the IRGC has 'seen the error of its ways,' calling it a fantasy that would make even the most ardent Iran hawks blush. He warns this is not a peace agreement but a 60-day extension of a ceasefire designed to pave the way for normalization, with Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff acting as de facto diplomats for a family-driven geopolitical agenda. The episode reveals deep fractures within the Republican Party, with pro-Israel hawks in panic and Marco Rubio in hiding, while the Democrats are poised to weaponize the deal for 2028. Weiss also draws a chilling parallel between the current Iran strategy and the failed JCPOA, predicting this will be worse because it’s not just about nuclear limits—it’s about full normalization and regime enrichment. The second segment features Sam Forstag, a smokejumper running for Congress in Montana, who presents a compelling case for a new kind of progressive politics rooted in material needs, not identity.

Key Takeaways
1

The Iran MOU effectively grants Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz and legitimizes its dominance over Hezbollah in Lebanon.

2

J.D. Vance’s claim that the IRGC has 'seen the error of its ways' is a fantasy that undermines U.S. credibility and signals strategic surrender.

3

The deal is not a peace agreement but a 60-day ceasefire designed to enable normalization, with economic benefits flowing to Iran and its allies.

4

Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are acting as de facto diplomats for a family-driven geopolitical agenda, not U.S. national interest.

5

The Democrats are poised to use the Iran deal as a 2028 campaign weapon, portraying Republicans as naive and untrustworthy on national security.

…and 3 more takeaways available in PodZeus

Chapters
1:10
3 min

The Iran MOU: A Surrender in Disguise

The U.S. is ratifying or confirming Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz because what they're saying in this MOU or how they're describing the contents of the MOU, the strait will be opened by Iran for the next 60 days free of charge.

Highlight
4:21
4 min

The Three Fatal Flaws of the Iran Deal

The one operational objective that you could argue has been completely achieved is the Iranian Navy is in the dream now. It's been destroyed. OK, well done. Was that worth the expense and blood and treasure for this campaign? I ask you. I ask any Israeli. The answer. No, it wasn't.

Highlight
8:25
3 min

J.D. Vance’s 'Cool' Diplomacy: A Nightmare for U.S. Credibility

If you look at the Pentagon's in-house assessment, its own history of the Iraq war, IRGC backed militias have more American blood on their hands than any other entity in Iraq, save for Al Qaeda in Iraq, right? This is not a cuddly, kittenish military enterprise or organization here.

Highlight
11:46
3 min

The Israeli Betrayal: Bibi’s Crashing Popularity

Weiss argues that Israel was misled into believing Trump would back regime change in Iran, but now faces a humiliating reversal as Trump tells Netanyahu to 'fuck off' and restricts Israel’s freedom of movement.

15:03
4 min

The Real Cost of the War: A Failure on All Fronts

Weiss dismantles the claim that the war achieved its goals, showing that Iran’s missile program remains intact, the nuclear program is unresolved, and the Iranian Navy was the only real target achieved.

High-Impact Quotes
Number one, the U .S. is ratifying or confirming Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz because what they're saying in this MOU or how they're describing the contents of the MOU, the strait will be opened by Iran for the next 60 days. free of charge.
Michael Weiss5:50
The one operational objective that you could argue has been completely achieved is the Iranian Navy is in the dream now. It's been destroyed. OK, well done. Was that worth the expense and blood and treasure for this campaign? I ask you. I ask any Israeli. The answer. No, it wasn't.
Michael Weiss18:23
I mean, if you look at the Pentagon's in -house assessment, its own history of the Iraq war, IRGC backed militias have more American blood on their hands than any other entity in Iraq, save for Al Qaeda in Iraq, right? This is not a cuddly, kittenish military enterprise or organization here.
Michael Weiss22:45

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